Find out where McMurphy projects Georgia after their win over Notre Dame.
So long, Utah. It was nice while it lasted. In each of the past four seasons, one team that started outside the Associated Press top 10 preseason rankings reached the College Football Playoff. I took a flier before the season on the Utes to be that team.
But the preseason favorites to win the Pac-12 couldn’t get out of September unscathed, losing at USC on Friday.
Taking Utah’s spot in my bowl projections this week is Oklahoma, joining three of my original playoff picks (Georgia, Clemson and Alabama). I do have one slight change. I’m projecting Georgia will earn the No. 1 seed – mainly because of strength of schedule – over Clemson, who I previously had projected as the No. 1 seed.
That would mean a Georgia-Alabama SEC title game rematch in the national semifinals (I’m not too crazy about rematches either, but until someone knocks off the Dawgs or Tide, it seems inevitable).
My New Year’s 6 bowl projections are slightly different. With OU now projected in the playoff, Texas moves up as the Big 12 representative in the Sugar Bowl, where the Longhorns would face LSU (I know, another rematch, but unavoidable).
Ohio State, as the Big Ten champ, would head to the Rose Bowl to face Pac-12 champ … Let’s see, I’ll go with Oregon – for this week anyway.
Wisconsin would earn an at-large bid to the Orange Bowl against an ACC team (Virginia) and Auburn will get an at-large bid to the Cotton Bowl against Memphis, my preseason pick to finish as the highest-rated Group of 5 champion.
On to this week’s projections:
College Football Playoff
Championship – Jan. 13 (CFP semifinal winners)
Projection: Georgia vs. Clemson
Semifinals
Peach Bowl – Dec. 28 (CFP semifinal)
Projection: Georgia (CFP No. 1) vs. Alabama (CFP No. 4)
Fiesta Bowl – Dec. 28 (CFP semifinal)
Projection: Clemson (CFP No. 2) vs. Oklahoma (CFP No. 3)
New Year’s 6 bowls
Rose Bowl – Jan. 1 (Big Ten vs. Pac-12)
Projection: Ohio State vs. Oregon
Sugar Bowl – Jan. 1 (Big 12 vs. SEC)
Projection: Texas vs. LSU
Orange Bowl – Jan. 1 (ACC vs. SEC/Big Ten/Notre Dame)
Projection: Virginia vs. Wisconsin
Cotton Bowl – Dec. 28 (at-large vs. Group of 5*)
Projection: Auburn vs. Memphis*
Other Bowls
Citrus Bowl – (Big Ten vs. SEC)
Projection: Notre Dame vs. Texas A&M
Outback Bowl – (Big Ten vs. SEC)
Projection: Penn State vs. Florida
Gator Bowl – (Big Ten/ACC vs. SEC)
Projection: Nebraska vs. South Carolina
Holiday Bowl – (Big Ten vs. Pac-12)
Projection: Iowa vs. Cal
Liberty Bowl – (Big 12 vs. SEC)
Projection: TCU vs. Colorado**
Redbox Bowl – (Big Ten vs. Pac-12)
Projection: Michigan vs. USC
Sun Bowl – (ACC vs. Pac-12)
Projection: Duke vs. Utah
Military Bowl – (ACC vs. American)
Projection: Syracuse vs. UCF
Arizona Bowl – (Mountain West vs. Sun Belt)
Projection: Utah State vs. Georgia State
Belk Bowl – (ACC vs. SEC)
Projection: Miami vs. Mississippi State
Alamo Bowl – (Big 12 vs. Pac-12)
Projection: Oklahoma State vs. Washington
Camping World Bowl – (ACC vs. Big 12)
Projection: Wake Forest vs. Iowa State
Music City Bowl – (ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC)
Projection: Virginia Tech vs. Maryland**
Texas Bowl – (Big 12 vs. SEC)
Projection: Kansas State vs. Kentucky
Pinstripe Bowl – (ACC vs. Big Ten)
Projection: NC State vs. Michigan State
Independence Bowl – (ACC vs. SEC)
Projection: Pitt vs. Arizona**
Cheez-It Bowl – (Big 12 vs. Pac-12)
Projection: Baylor vs. Arizona State
Quick Lane Bowl – (ACC vs. Big Ten)
Projection: Boston College vs. Minnesota
First Responder Bowl – (Big 12 vs. C-USA)
Projection: West Virginia vs. Marshall
Hawaii Bowl – (AAC vs. BYU)
Projection: Navy vs. BYU
Mobile Bowl – (MAC vs. Sun Belt)
Projection: Eastern Michigan vs. Arkansas State
Armed Forces Bowl – (Big Ten vs. Mountain West)
Projection: Northwestern vs. Air Force
Birmingham Bowl – (American vs. SEC)
Projection: SMU vs. North Carolina**
Idaho Potato Bowl – (MAC vs. Mountain West)
Projection: Toledo vs. San Diego State
Bahamas Bowl – (C-USA vs. MAC)
Projection: Southern Miss vs. Northern Illinois
Gasparilla Bowl – (American vs. C-USA)
Projection: Cincinnati vs. North Texas
Frisco Bowl – (American vs. Open)
Projection: Tulane vs. Army
Boca Raton Bowl – (American vs. MAC)
Projection: Houston vs. Ohio
New Orleans Bowl – (C-USA vs. Sun Belt)
Projection: Louisiana Tech vs. Appalachian State
Camellia Bowl – (MAC vs. Sun Belt)
Projection: Western Michigan vs. Louisiana
Las Vegas Bowl – (Mountain West vs. Pac-12)
Projection: Boise State vs. Washington State
Cure Bowl – (American vs. Sun Belt)
Projection: Temple vs. Coastal Carolina
New Mexico Bowl – (C-USA vs. Mountain West)
Projection: UAB vs. Hawaii
*-The highest-rated champion from the Group of Five conferences (American, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West and Sun Belt) will be selected to play in the Cotton Bowl.
**-Replaces team from league that can’t fill bowl.