Brett McMurphy’s College Football Bowl Projections After Week 4

    Now that I’ve found a new home with Stadium, so have my annual bowl projections. Each Monday, I’ll post my bowl projections here for the 40 bowls —

    Now that I’ve found a new home with Stadium, so have my annual bowl projections. Each Monday, I’ll post my bowl projections here for the 40 bowls — including the College Football Playoff title game.

    These projections are my end-of-the-season predictions. So my bowl projections will likely look a lot different than how I have the teams currently ranked in my Associated Press Top 25 ballot. My AP ballot is based only on games played up to this point, and not a prediction of how the teams will finish.

    College Football Playoff
    Championship – Jan. 7 (CFP semifinal winners)
    Projection: Alabama vs Georgia

    Semifinals
    Orange Bowl – Dec. 29 (CFP Playoff semifinal)
    Projection:  Alabama (CFP No. 1) vs Oklahoma (CFP No. 4)

    Cotton Bowl – Dec. 29 (CFP Playoff semifinal)
    Projection: Clemson (CFP No. 2) vs Georgia (CFP No. 3)

    New Year’s 6 Bowls
    Rose Bowl – Jan. 1 (Big Ten vs Pac-12)
    Projection: Ohio State vs Washington

    Sugar Bowl – Jan. 1 (Big 12 vs SEC)
    Projection: West Virginia vs Auburn

    Fiesta Bowl – Jan. 1 (at-large vs Group of 5*)
    Projection: Stanford vs UCF

    Peach Bowl – Dec. 29 (at large vs at-large)
    Projection: Notre Dame vs Penn State

    Other Bowls
    Citrus Bowl – Jan. 1 (Big Ten vs SEC)
    Projection: Wisconsin vs LSU

    Outback Bowl – Jan. 1 (Big Ten vs SEC)
    Projection: Michigan State vs Kentucky

    Gator Bowl – Dec. 31 (ACC/Big Ten vs SEC)
    Projection: Minnesota vs Texas A&M

    Holiday Bowl – Dec. 31 (Big Ten vs Pac-12)
    Projection: Michigan vs Washington State

    Liberty Bowl – Dec. 31 (Big 12 vs SEC)
    Projection: Oklahoma State vs South Carolina

    San Francisco Bowl – Dec. 31 (Big Ten vs Pac-12)
    Projection: Iowa vs Cal

    Sun Bowl – Dec. 31 (ACC vs Pac-12)
    Projection: Virginia Tech vs USC

    Military Bowl – Dec. 31 (ACC vs American)
    Projection: NC State vs Cincinnati

    Arizona Bowl – Dec. 29 (Mountain West vs Sun Belt)
    Projection: Fresno State vs Arkansas State

    Belk Bowl – Dec. 29 (ACC vs SEC)
    Projection: Boston College vs Florida

    Alamo Bowl – Dec. 28 (Big 12 vs Pac-12)
    Projection: Texas vs Oregon

    Camping World Bowl – Dec. 28 (ACC vs Big 12)
    Projection: Miami vs TCU

    Music City Bowl – Dec. 28 (ACC/Big Ten vs SEC)
    Projection: Duke vs Missouri

    Texas Bowl – Dec. 27 (Big 12 vs SEC)
    Projection: Texas Tech vs Mississippi State

    Pinstripe Bowl – Dec. 27 (ACC vs Big Ten)
    Projection: Syracuse vs Maryland

    Independence Bowl – Dec. 27 (ACC vs SEC)
    Projection: Arizona** vs UNLV**

    Cheez-It Bowl – Dec. 26 (Big 12 vs Pac-12)
    Projection: Iowa State vs Utah

    Quick Lane Bowl – Dec. 26 (ACC vs Big Ten)
    Projection: Virginia vs Indiana

    First Responder Bowl – Dec. 26 (C-USA vs Big Ten)
    Projection:  North Texas vs Purdue

    Hawaii Bowl – Dec. 22 (C-USA vs Mountain West)
    Projection: FAU vs Hawaii

    Dollar General Bowl – Dec. 22 (MAC vs Sun Belt)
    Projection: Buffalo vs Troy

    Armed Forces Bowl – Dec. 22 (American vs Big 12)
    Projection: Navy vs Baylor

    Birmingham Bowl – Dec. 22 (American vs SEC)
    Projection: Memphis vs Arizona State**

    Idaho Potato Bowl – Dec. 21 (MAC vs Mountain West)
    Projection: Toledo vs San Diego State

    Bahamas Bowl – Dec. 21 (C-USA vs MAC)
    Projection: Florida International vs Northern Illinois

    Gasparilla Bowl – Dec. 20 (ACC vs American)
    Projection: Army** vs USF

    Frisco Bowl – Dec. 19 (American vs MAC)
    Projection: BYU** vs Akron

    Boca Raton Bowl – Dec. 18 (American vs C-USA)
    Projection: Houston vs Marshall

    New Orleans Bowl – Dec. 15 (C-USA vs Sun Belt)
    Projection: Louisiana Tech vs ULM

    Camellia Bowl – Dec. 15 (MAC vs Sun Belt)
    Projection: Eastern Michigan vs Appalachian State

    Las Vegas Bowl – Dec. 15 (Mountain West vs Pac-12)
    Projection: Boise State vs Colorado

    Cure Bowl – Dec. 15 (American vs Sun Belt)
    Projection: Western Michigan** vs Coastal Carolina

    New Mexico Bowl – Dec. 15 (C-USA vs Mountain West)
    Projection: Southern Miss vs Utah State


    * The highest rated champion from the Group of Five conferences (American, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West and Sun Belt) will be selected to play in either the Cotton, Fiesta or Peach Bowl

    ** Replaces team from league that can’t fill bowl

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