Brett McMurphy’s College Football Bowl Projections After Week 6

    Find out how far Ohio State climbed in McMurphy's Week 6 projections.

    I’m changing my College Football Playoff selections and seedings – again. Each week this season, I have had two SEC teams ending up in my projected playoff. Not any longer.

    Because of the overall strength of the SEC, specifically at the top, I believe only the champion will make the playoff. With currently four SEC teams in the Associated Press’ top seven, only one will survive when the playoff is announced Dec. 8.

    Another reason I’m only going with one SEC team: While I know the analytics experts and history says otherwise, I think we’ll end up with three undefeated conference champions from the ACC (Clemson), Big 12 (Oklahoma) and Big Ten (Ohio State).

    If that happens, the committee will not select a one-loss SEC non-champion over an undefeated Power 5 conference champion to make the four-team playoff.

    So, until Clemson, Oklahoma or Ohio State lose, I’ll keep them in my playoff picks with my projected SEC champion (and predicted national champion) Georgia.

    Onto this week’s projections:

     

    College Football Playoff

    ChampionshipJan. 13 (CFP semifinal winners)
    Projection: Georgia vs. Ohio State

    Semifinals
    Peach BowlDec. 28 (CFP semifinal)
    Projection: Georgia (CFP No. 1) vs. Clemson (CFP No. 4)

    Fiesta BowlDec. 28 (CFP semifinal)
    Projection: Ohio State (CFP No. 2) vs. Oklahoma (CFP No. 3)

     

    New Year’s 6 bowls

    Rose BowlJan. 1 (Big Ten vs. Pac-12)
    Projection: Wisconsin vs. Oregon

    Sugar BowlJan. 1 (Big 12 vs. SEC)
    Projection: Texas vs. Alabama

    Orange BowlJan. 1 (ACC vs. SEC/Big Ten/Notre Dame)
    Projection: Wake Forest vs. LSU

    Cotton BowlDec. 28 (at-large vs. Group of 5*)
    Projection: Penn State vs. Memphis*

     

    Other Bowls

    Citrus Bowl(Big Ten vs. SEC)
    Projection: Michigan vs. Auburn

    Outback Bowl(Big Ten vs. SEC)
    Projection: Minnesota vs. Texas A&M

    Gator Bowl(Big Ten/ACC vs. SEC)
    Projection: Nebraska vs. South Carolina

    Holiday Bowl(Big Ten vs. Pac-12)
    Projection: Iowa vs. Arizona State

    Liberty Bowl(Big 12 vs. SEC)
    Projection: Oklahoma State vs. Virginia Tech**

    Redbox Bowl (Big Ten vs. Pac-12)
    Projection: Maryland vs. Washington

    Sun Bowl(ACC vs. Pac-12)
    Projection: Syracuse vs. Arizona

    Military Bowl (ACC vs. American)
    Projection: Florida State vs. Tulane

    Arizona Bowl(Mountain West vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: Utah State vs. Coastal Carolina

    Belk Bowl(ACC vs. SEC)
    Projection: Duke vs. Florida

    Alamo Bowl(Big 12 vs. Pac-12)
    Projection: Baylor vs. Utah

    Camping World Bowl (ACC vs. Big 12)
    Projection: Notre Dame vs. Iowa State

    Music City Bowl (ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC)
    Projection: Virginia vs. Mississippi State

    Texas Bowl (Big 12 vs. SEC)
    Projection: Texas Tech vs. Kentucky

    Pinstripe Bowl(ACC vs. Big Ten)
    Projection: Pitt vs. Michigan State

    Independence Bowl(ACC vs. SEC)
    Projection: North Carolina vs. Wyoming**

    Cheez-It Bowl (Big 12 vs. Pac-12)
    Projection: West Virginia vs. Washington State

    Quick Lane Bowl(ACC vs. Big Ten)
    Projection: NC State vs. Indiana

    First Responder Bowl(Big 12 vs. C-USA)
    Projection: TCU vs. Southern Miss

    Hawaii Bowl(AAC vs. BYU)
    Projection: Navy vs. BYU

    Mobile Bowl (MAC vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: Eastern Michigan vs. Arkansas State

    Armed Forces Bowl(Big Ten vs. Mountain West)
    Projection: Cal** vs. Air Force

    Birmingham Bowl(American vs. SEC)
    Projection: SMU vs. Colorado**

    Idaho Potato Bowl(MAC vs. Mountain West)
    Projection: Toledo vs. San Diego State

    Bahamas Bowl (C-USA vs. MAC)
    Projection: Louisiana Tech vs. Central Michigan

    Gasparilla Bowl(American vs. C-USA)
    Projection: Cincinnati vs. Florida Atlantic

    Frisco Bowl(American vs. Open)
    Projection: UCF vs. Army

    Boca Raton Bowl(American vs. MAC)
    Projection: Houston vs. Ohio

    New Orleans Bowl(C-USA vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: UAB vs. Appalachian State

    Camellia Bowl (MAC vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: Western Michigan vs. Louisiana

    Las Vegas Bowl (Mountain West vs. Pac-12)
    Projection: Boise State vs. USC

    Cure Bowl(American vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: Temple vs. Georgia State

    New Mexico Bowl (C-USA vs. Mountain West)
    Projection: North Texas vs. Hawaii


    *-The highest-rated champion from the Group of Five conferences (American, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West and Sun Belt) will be selected to play in the Cotton Bowl.

    **-Replaces team from league that can’t fill bowl.

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