Brett McMurphy’s College Football Bowl Projections: Dec. 1

With bowl season less than a month away, we are now down to 34 bowls.

Stadium reported on Monday that the Sun Bowl won’t be played this year, while the Pinstripe Bowl announced it also wouldn’t be played. Both the Pac-12 and ACC have each lost four bowl tie-ins, and sources told Stadium they are afraid there could be more cancellations.

However, even with nearly three dozen bowls remaining, there may not be one available for No. 25 Liberty (9-1), sources said.

The reason is that independent Liberty doesn’t have a guaranteed bowl affiliation and this season there are no win requirements to become bowl eligible. Bowls are expected to fill their games with teams from their designated conference affiliation, a source said. If that happens, Liberty — even if it finishes nationally ranked and 10-1 — would not receive a bowl bid.

Onto my bowl projections entering Tuesday’s second release of the College Football Playoff rankings:

College Football Playoff

Championship – Jan. 10 (CFP semifinal winners)
Projection: Alabama vs. Ohio State

Semifinals
Sugar Bowl – Jan. 1 (CFP semifinal)
Projection: Alabama (No. 1 seed) vs. Texas A&M (No. 4 seed)

Rose Bowl – Jan. 1 (CFP semifinal)
Projection: Clemson (No. 2 seed) vs. Ohio State (No. 3 seed)

New Year’s 6 Bowls

Orange Bowl – Jan. 2 (ACC vs. SEC/Big Ten)
Projection: Notre Dame vs. Florida

Fiesta Bowl – Jan. 2 (at-large vs. at-large)
Projection: USC vs. Wisconsin

Peach Bowl – Jan. 1 (at-large vs. at-large)
Projection: Georgia vs. Cincinnati*

Cotton Bowl – Dec. 30 (at-large vs. at-large)
Projection: Iowa State vs. Miami

Other Bowls

Gator BowlJan. 2 (ACC vs. SEC)
Projection: North Carolina vs. Missouri

Outback BowlJan. 2 (Big Ten vs. SEC)
Projection: Indiana vs. Ole Miss

Birmingham BowlJan. 1 (AAC vs. SEC)
Projection: Tulsa vs. Tennessee

Citrus BowlJan. 1 (Big Ten vs. SEC)
Projection: Northwestern vs. Auburn

Arizona BowlDec. 31 (MAC vs. Mountain West)
Projection: Western Michigan vs. Fresno State

Armed Forces BowlDec. 31 (AAC vs. Big 12)
Projection: Houston vs. TCU

Liberty BowlDec. 31 (Big 12 vs. SEC)
Projection: West Virginia vs. LSU

Texas BowlDec. 31 (Big 12 vs. SEC)
Projection: Texas vs. Arkansas

Duke’s Mayo BowlDec. 30 (ACC vs. Big Ten)
Projection: Boston College vs. Maryland

Los Angeles BowlDec. 30 (Pac-12 vs. Mountain West)
Projection: Oregon vs. Boise State

Music City BowlDec. 30 (Big Ten vs. SEC)
Projection: Iowa vs. Mississippi State

Alamo BowlDec. 29 (Big 12 vs. Pac-12)
Projection: Oklahoma vs. Washington

Cheez-It BowlDec. 29 (ACC vs. Big 12)
Projection: NC State vs. Oklahoma State

Military BowlDec. 28 (ACC vs. AAC)
Projection: Wake Forest vs. Navy

Cure BowlDec. 26 (C-USA vs. Sun Belt)
Projection: Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina

First Responder BowlDec. 26 (ACC vs. AAC)
Projection: Virginia Tech vs. UCF

Gasparilla BowlDec. 26 (ACC vs. SEC)
Projection: Pitt vs. Kentucky

Guaranteed Rate BowlDec. 26 (Big Ten vs. Big 12)
Projection: Minnesota vs. Kansas State

Independence BowlDec. 26 (Army vs. Pac-12)
Projection: Army vs. Colorado

LendingTree BowlDec. 26 (MAC/C-USA vs. Sun Belt)
Projection: Central Michigan vs. Georgia State

Camellia BowlDec. 25 (MAC vs. Sun Belt)
Projection: Buffalo vs. Louisiana

New Mexico BowlDec. 24 (Mountain West vs. C-USA/BYU/MAC)
Projection: San Jose State vs. BYU

**Montgomery BowlDec. 23 (Group of 5)
Projection: Appalachian State vs. UAB

New Orleans BowlDec. 23 (C-USA vs. Sun Belt)
Projection: Louisiana Tech vs. Troy

Boca Raton BowlDec. 22 (AAC vs. C-USA/BYU/MAC)
Projection: Memphis vs. FAU

Idaho Potato BowlDec. 22 (Mountain West vs. BYU/MAC)
Projection: Nevada vs. Kent State

Myrtle Beach BowlDec. 21 (C-USA vs. Sun Belt)
Projection: Western Kentucky vs. Georgia Southern

Frisco BowlDec. 19 (AAC vs. C-USA)
Projection: SMU vs. UTSA

Bowls that have been canceled this year:
•Bahamas Bowl
•Fenway Bowl
•Hawaii Bowl
•Holiday Bowl
•Las Vegas Bowl (Stadium reported it won’t be played, but no official announcement)
•Redbox Bowl
•Pinstripe Bowl
•Quick Lane Bowl
•Sun Bowl (Stadium reported it won’t be played, but no official announcement)


Teams in bold have already officially accepted bid.

*The highest rated champion from the Group of Five conferences (American, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West and Sun Belt) will be selected to play in either the Cotton, Fiesta or Peach Bowl.

**Replacing Fenway Bowl for this season only.