Brett McMurphy’s College Football Bowl Projections: Nov. 17

    Any big changes this week?

    In a season of postponements, cancellations and never-ending schedule changes, it appears we finally have some certainty regarding the College Football Playoff semifinals and national title game.

    Despite speculation regarding that the conference title games and College Football Playoff dates would be moved back, rumors have been squashed in the past few days on several fronts.

    SEC commissioner Greg Sankey said his focus is now on the completion of the SEC season on Dec. 19, the date of the SEC Championship Game. That weekend also is when the remaining nine FBS conferences will hold their title games.

    “Having a floating finish day is not healthy,” Sankey said. “At some point, we have to land the airplane on the 2020 season.”

    Another indicator is the Heisman Trophy Trust announced the deadline for ballots is Dec. 21 — two days after the conference championship games — and the award will be announced on Jan. 5 (between the semifinal and title game dates). The Heisman Trophy Trust would not make that announcement if they weren’t 100 percent certain the conference commissioners were not considering moving the playoff back any further.

    So now that we know when the playoffs will definitely be held, who will be in them?

    My projections this week for the College Football Playoff remain the same: Alabama, Ohio State, Clemson and Oregon.

    That, of course, is based on Clemson winning over Notre Dame in the ACC title game and Oregon going 7-0 as Pac-12 champions. If Clemson loses to Notre Dame a second time, the Irish would be in the playoff. And if Oregon isn’t undefeated, it opens the door for a variety of possibilities. But until either of those happen, I’m staying with my initial projections.

    College Football Playoff

    Championship – Jan. 10 (CFP semifinal winners)
    Projection: Alabama vs. Ohio State

    Semifinals
    Sugar Bowl – Jan. 1 (CFP semifinal)
    Projection: Alabama (CFP No. 1) vs. Clemson (CFP No. 4)

    Rose Bowl – Jan. 1 (CFP semifinal)
    Projection: Ohio State (CFP No. 2) vs. Oregon (CFP No. 3)

    New Year’s 6 Bowls

    Orange Bowl – Jan. 2 (ACC vs. SEC/Big Ten)
    Projection: Notre Dame vs. Florida

    Fiesta Bowl – Jan. 2 (at-large vs. at-large)
    Projection: USC vs. Wisconsin

    Peach Bowl – Jan. 1 (at-large vs. at-large)
    Projection: BYU vs. Cincinnati*

    Cotton Bowl – Dec. 30 (at-large vs. at-large)
    Projection: Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M

    Other Bowls

    Alamo Bowl (Big 12 vs. Pac-12)
    Projection: Iowa State vs. Washington

    Arizona Bowl (MAC vs. Mountain West)
    Projection: Central Michigan vs. Fresno State

    Armed Forces Bowl (AAC vs. Big 12)
    Projection: Houston vs. TCU

    Birmingham Bowl (AAC vs. SEC)
    Projection: UCF vs. Missouri

    Boca Raton Bowl (AAC vs. C-USA/BYU/Liberty/MAC)
    Projection: Memphis vs. FAU

    Camellia Bowl (MAC vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: Buffalo vs. Appalachian State

    Cheez-It Bowl (ACC vs. Big 12)
    Projection: Miami vs. Oklahoma

    Citrus Bowl (Big Ten vs. SEC)
    Projection: Indiana vs. Georgia

    Cure Bowl (C-USA vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: Louisiana Tech vs. Troy

    Duke’s Mayo Bowl (ACC vs. Big Ten)
    Projection: NC State vs. Iowa

    First Responder Bowl (ACC vs. AAC)
    Projection: Pitt vs. Tulsa

    Frisco Bowl (AAC vs. C-USA)
    Projection: SMU vs. UTSA

    Gasparilla Bowl (ACC vs. SEC)
    Projection: Virginia vs. Ole Miss

    Gator Bowl (ACC vs. SEC)
    Projection: North Carolina vs. Auburn

    Guaranteed Rate Bowl (Big Ten vs. Big 12)
    Projection: Nebraska vs. West Virginia

    Idaho Potato Bowl (Mountain West vs. BYU/Liberty/MAC)
    Projection: Nevada vs. Toledo

    Independence Bowl (Army vs. Pac-12)
    Projection: Army vs. Arizona State

    LendingTree Bowl (MAC/C-USA vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: Western Michigan vs. Georgia Southern

    Liberty Bowl (Big 12 vs. SEC)
    Projection: Texas vs. Arkansas

    Los Angeles Bowl (Pac-12 vs. Mountain West)
    Projection: Utah vs. Boise State

    Military Bowl (ACC vs. AAC)
    Projection: Wake Forest vs. Navy

    **Montgomery Bowl (Group of 5, Liberty or BYU)
    Projection: Liberty vs. UAB

    Music City Bowl (Big Ten vs. SEC)
    Projection: Purdue vs. Tennessee

    Myrtle Beach Bowl (C-USA vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina

    New Mexico Bowl (Mountain West vs. C-USA/ BYU/Liberty/MAC)
    Projection: San Jose State vs. Kent State

    New Orleans Bowl (C-USA vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: Charlotte vs. Louisiana

    Outback Bowl (Big Ten vs. SEC)
    Projection: Northwestern vs. Kentucky

    Pinstripe Bowl (ACC vs. Big Ten)
    Projection: Virginia Tech vs. Maryland

    Sun Bowl (ACC vs. Pac-12)
    Projection: Boston College vs. Colorado

    Texas Bowl (Big 12 vs. SEC)
    Projection: Kansas State vs. LSU

    Bowls that have been canceled this year:
    •Bahamas Bowl
    •Fenway Bowl
    •Hawaii Bowl
    •Holiday Bowl
    •Las Vegas Bowl (not official, but Stadium is reporting it won’t be played)
    •Redbox Bowl
    •Quick Lane Bowl


    Teams in bold have already officially accepted bid.

    *The highest rated champion from the Group of Five conferences (American, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West and Sun Belt) will be selected to play in either the Cotton, Fiesta or Peach Bowl.

    **Replacing Fenway Bowl for this season only.

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