Brett McMurphy’s Final College Football Bowl Projections

    McMurphy's final College Football Playoff championship projection: LSU vs. Ohio State.

    Entering Sunday’s announcement of the College Football Playoff pairings, here are my final bowl projections.

    After Sunday’s semifinal matchups are announced, I will update with any new information I receive involving the remaining 37 bowl games before the New Year’s Six bowls are announced about 3 p.m. ET.

    In the past two years in my final projections, I have correctly predicted about 71 percent of the schools in their correct bowl.

    In my final projections in 2017, I correctly had 77 of the 78 bowl-bound schools. Of the 78 bids, I had 53 schools in the correct bowl, including 15 bowls where I correctly projected both teams.

    My final projections in 2018 were even better: I correctly picked all 78 bowl teams and which four teams would be left out. I projected 57 schools in the correct bowl, including 22 bowls where I correctly projected both teams.

    Hopefully I can improve on those numbers in 2019.

    On to my final projections as of Sunday morning:

     

    College Football Playoff

    ChampionshipJan. 13 (CFP semifinal winners)
    Projection: LSU vs. Ohio State

    Semifinals
    Peach BowlDec. 28 (CFP semifinal)
    Projection: LSU (CFP No. 1) vs. Oklahoma (CFP No. 4)

    Fiesta BowlDec. 28 (CFP semifinal)
    Projection: Ohio State (CFP No. 2) vs. Clemson (CFP No. 3)

    New Year’s 6 Bowls

    Rose BowlJan. 1 (Big Ten vs. Pac-12)
    Projection: Wisconsin vs. Oregon

    Sugar BowlJan. 1 (Big 12 vs. SEC)
    Projection: Baylor vs. Georgia

    Orange BowlJan. 1 (ACC vs. SEC/Big Ten/Notre Dame)
    Projection: Virginia vs. Florida

    Cotton BowlDec. 28 (at-large vs. Group of Five*)
    Projection: Penn State vs. Memphis*

    Other Bowls

    Citrus Bowl(Big Ten vs. SEC)
    Projection: Michigan vs. Alabama

    Outback Bowl(Big Ten vs. SEC)
    Projection: Minnesota vs. Auburn

    Gator Bowl(Big Ten/ACC vs. SEC)
    Projection: Indiana vs. Kentucky

    Holiday Bowl(Big Ten vs. Pac-12)
    Projection: Iowa vs. USC

    Liberty Bowl(Big 12 vs. SEC)
    Projection: Kansas State vs. Navy**

    Redbox Bowl(Big Ten vs. Pac-12)
    Projection: Illinois vs. Cal

    Sun Bowl(ACC vs. Pac-12)
    Projection: Florida State vs. Arizona State

    Military Bowl(ACC vs. American)
    Projection: North Carolina vs. Temple

    Arizona Bowl(Mountain West vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: San Diego State vs. Arkansas State

    Belk Bowl(ACC vs. SEC)
    Projection: Virginia Tech vs. Mississippi State

    Alamo Bowl(Big 12 vs. Pac-12)
    Projection: Texas vs. Utah

    Camping World Bowl(ACC vs. Big 12)
    Projection: Notre Dame vs. Iowa State

    Music City Bowl (ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC)
    Projection: Louisville vs. Tennessee

    Texas Bowl(Big 12 vs. SEC)
    Projection: Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M

    Pinstripe Bowl(ACC vs. Big Ten)
    Projection: Wake Forest vs. Michigan State

    Independence Bowl(ACC vs. SEC)
    Projection: Miami vs. Southern Miss**

    Cheez-It Bowl(Big 12 vs. Pac-12)
    Projection: Air Force** vs. Washington State

    Quick Lane Bowl(ACC vs. Big Ten)
    Projection: Pitt vs. Western Michigan**

    First Responder Bowl(Big 12 vs. C-USA)
    Projection: Eastern Michigan** vs. Louisiana Tech

    Hawaii Bowl(AAC vs. BYU)
    Projection: Hawaii** vs. BYU

    Mobile Bowl(MAC vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: Miami (OH) vs. Louisiana

    Armed Forces Bowl(Big Ten vs. Mountain West)
    Projection: Western Kentucky** vs. Utah State

    Birmingham Bowl(American vs. SEC)
    Projection: Cincinnati vs. Boston College**

    Idaho Potato Bowl(MAC vs. Mountain West)
    Projection: Ohio vs. Nevada

    Bahamas Bowl(C-USA vs. MAC)
    Projection: Charlotte vs. Buffalo

    Gasparilla Bowl(American vs. C-USA)
    Projection: UCF vs. Marshall

    Frisco Bowl(American vs. Open)
    Projection: Tulane vs. Central Michigan**

    Boca Raton Bowl(American vs. MAC)
    Projection: SMU vs. Florida Atlantic**

    New Orleans Bowl(C-USA vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: UAB vs. Appalachian State

    Camellia Bowl(MAC vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: Kent State vs. Georgia State

    Las Vegas Bowl(Mountain West vs. Pac-12)
    Projection: Boise State vs. Washington

    Cure Bowl(American vs. Sun Belt)
    Projection: Liberty** vs. Georgia Southern

    New Mexico Bowl(C-USA vs. Mountain West)
    Projection: FIU vs. Wyoming


    Teams in bold have already officially accepted bid.

    *-The highest rated champion from the Group of Five conferences (American, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West and Sun Belt) will be selected to play in the Cotton Bowl.

    **-Replaces team from league that can’t fill bowl.

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