College Football Betting: Week 12 Best Picks and Advice

Ben Wittenstein: Kentucky -1 over South Carolina.

I know the Wildcats have been less than ideal this season with the inconsistent passing game and bad defense, but South Carolina is worse. Sure, the Gamecocks are riding a two-game winning streak, but they beat Jacksonville State and Vanderbilt. Their defense ranks middle of the road and before the last two games against softer competition, QB Spencer Rattler wasn’t exactly playing consistent football.

On the Kentucky side, they take their powerful rushing game against a Gamecocks defense that ranks 42nd in opponent rush yards per attempt. Kentucky’s offense also ranks 13th in points per play and South Carolina’s defense ranks 69th in opponent points per play. This should be a good matchup for the Wildcats, so I’ll side with them as a very short road favorite.

Nate Jacobson: Oregon State -2 over Washington.

There’s been a flip of favorite from the opening number for one of the most important games of the weekend, and I completely agree with the move. Washington has been very fortunate since their October win against Oregon, when the Ducks failed to convert two key fourth down conversions. The Huskies defense has been exposed, and we saw that in full effect last week when they gave up four first-half touchdowns to a below average Utah offense in Seattle.

This home game is very meaningful for Oregon State, as Washington is one of the 10 Pac-12 teams leaving the conference after this school year and this is a huge national spotlight spot for the Beavers to prove they belong in a Power Five conference. I like the Beavers offense to run all over the Huskies Saturday evening in Corvallis.

Colby Marchio: Wyoming -13 over Hawaii.

Things get real weird over in Laramie, WY, and that’s why I love the Cowboys this week. They are taking on Hawaii, who does not travel well and is a pass-happy offense that will face a solid Wyoming pass defense.

In addition to that, this will be Hawaii’s coldest game of the year. It will be in the mid-50s come 12:00 pm local time on Saturday. The early kickoff adds to the beauty of this, as it is only 9:00 am in Hawaii.

BW: Wyoming -13 over Hawaii.

Allow me to be Mr. Meteorology for this game, because I went back and looked at historic temperature sheets for Hawaii games. As Colby mentioned, Saturday’s game in Laramie will be Hawaii’s coldest game all season. It’s currently supposed to be 54 degrees. The coldest game thus far that Hawaii has played in was 67 degrees in Reno a couple weeks ago.

Those temperatures might not be that cold to the hardened souls in Wyoming, but it might make a significant difference in this game for those used to the warm Hawaiian climate. Then, add into the equation that the game starts at 9:00 am Hawaii time and you have a recipe for disaster. An early body clock start and the coldest temps all season? I’m fading Hawaii like a mad man.

NJ: Florida +11.5 over Missouri.

It’s been an amazing season for Mizzou football. They have an 8-2 record and are up to No. 9 in the College Football Playoff rankings. I was impressed with how Mizzou played against Tennessee the week after a close loss at Georgia. The Tigers beat the Volunteers 36-7 in a game that meant a lot to HC Eli Drinkwitz because of blowout losses to Tennessee the last two seasons. Now it’s time to sell high on the Tigers off back-to-back all-in performances.

Florida comes into this game at 5-5, needing one win to make a bowl game. They’ll have another opportunity to do that next week against undefeated Florida State at home, but this might be a better chance for the Gators to get the sixth win. It’s still likely that Mizzou wins this game, but this number is inflated off the Tigers last two weeks and Florida still has plenty to play for.

CM: LSU -31.5 over Georgia State.

This is the classic big-time SEC school playing some random small school to get themselves ready for rivalry week. However, LSU has something to play for this in spot: They will try to get star QB Jayden Daniels the needed stats to contend for a Heisman Trophy. He sits behind Bo Nix and Michael Penix in the Heisman odds with two games left, and will need all the help he can get to secure college football’s most prestigious individual award.

Georgia State was blown out by JMU and App State 42-14 in back-to-back weeks. They now face the number one offense in the country. This will be a blood bath.

BW: Northwestern ML +130 over Purdue.

Northwestern might be the hottest team no one is talking about. After dismissing Pat Fitzgerald before the start of the season, people simply counted out the Wildcats for the rest of the year. Now, the Wildcats are 5-5 and have won two of their last three with their only loss to Iowa by three points at Wrigley Field two weeks ago. They’re seemingly starting to figure something out, so much so that they just took the interim tag off head coach David Braun.

On the other side, Purdue is 1-3 on the road this season and has struggled offensively against decent defensive opponents. Northwestern seems to be feeling good about themselves as of late, so I’ll tail them at home against an inconsistent Purdue squad.

NJ: Michigan State ML +150 over Indiana.

My colleague Ben has written up Indiana many times in this section, as a sign of support for his alma mater, I’ll take the reigns this week — he won’t be able to because the Hoosiers find themselves in the unfamiliar favorite role for a Big Ten game.

Michigan State has had an ugly season, but they’re capable enough of keeping this game close against an Indiana team off a double-overtime loss to Illinois last week that ended the Hoosiers hopes of making a bowl game. It’s an ugly ‘dog, but I like the price on Sparty.

CM: North Carolina ML +250 over Clemson.

I have been fading Clemson all season long and I will not be stopped this week. I love the Tar Heels against the spread and to win outright.

UNC does not have as good of a defense as Clemson, but their offense is far superior. They are ranked top-10 in pass offense and scoring offense. This will be a prime spot for Drake Maye, one of the NFL’s top prospects, to shine against Clemson. If UNC can get some stops defensively, they will take down the Tigers on the road.

Ben, Nate and Colby will discuss all of their college football and NFL bets on Stadium Bets. Check out the new show across Stadium’s OTT and OTA channels. Also subscribe on Spotify and Apple for podcast episodes and follow Stadium Bets on Twitter for more sports betting content.