College Football Betting: Week 2 Best Picks and Advice

Ben Wittenstein: Texas A&M -3.5 over Miami.

This isn’t your grandfather’s Texas A&M. And by grandfather, I mean your grandfather from last year. This Aggies team actually seems to have a capable offense! A 52-point game (even against New Mexico) is impressive considering that they didn’t score more than 38 points last season. Led by QB Conner Weigman and new OC Bobby Petrino, A&M has an offense that can help out its already top-notch defense. They should be physically imposing on the line, limiting Miami’s running ability this weekend. And with their new-found offensive firepower, A&M should be able to pull off the road win and cover.

Nate Jacobson: Texas +7 over Alabama.

I’ve had this game circled since early in the summer as a potential spot to bet on Texas. The Longhorns are perennially overvalued, but I believe they are properly rated this year after a disappointing 8-4 regular season in 2022. They have been recruiting at a high level and are clearly the most talented team for their last season in the Big 12.

Going into this season, I’m the lowest I’ve been on Alabama since I started betting on college football. They were carried by QB Bryce Young last season, including a 20-19 win over Texas in Austin 12 months ago, and they didn’t properly replace the No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft. Dual-threat QB Jalen Milroe won a three-man QB battle this summer but can he make the big throws when asked to do so? The Crimson Tide also don’t have proven playmakers on offense like they’ve had in recent years.

Colby Marchio: UTSA -13 over Texas State.

Texas State is coming off their biggest win in program history after taking down Baylor 42-31. This is a huge letdown spot for them as they face a Roadrunners team that just lost a tough game to Houston.

UTSA returns nine starters from last season including arguably their greatest football player in program history, QB Frank Harris. In 2022, he averaged 419.8 total yards per game and 3.66 total touchdowns at home. He also only turned the ball over twice at home last season, which is something he struggled with last week vs. Houston (three interceptions).

The Alamodome will be packed with a lot of hungry Roadrunner fans looking for their first win of the season — while I will be starving for them to cover. I think it’s tough for a team like Texas State to come back and replay another game like they did last week.

BW: Purdue +3 over Virginia Tech.

Coming off a home loss to Fresno State as a favorite certainly isn’t the best look for the Boilermakers. Yet, they still opened as a favorite on the road against Virginia Tech. And despite being bet to a field goal underdog, the opening line is interesting. How bad does VT have to be to open as a home dog to a team coming off a loss?

I think Purdue also isn’t as bad as they looked in Week 1, especially defensively. New coach Ryan Walters comes from a defensive background and should be able to make quick adjustments. Between a good-looking offense led by Texas transfer Hudson Card and a likely improved defense, Purdue can not only cover the +3 but also win outright.

NJ: Nebraska +3 over Colorado.

Before Week 1, Nebraska was listed as an 8.5-point favorite for their Week 2 trip to play Colorado. Now after Colorado’s incredibly impressive win as three-touchdown underdogs at TCU this past Saturday, there has been an unprecedented adjustment for the point spread in this game. I totally get why this has happened with Colorado coach Deion Sanders being a household name and bringing in high-end talent to Boulder. But at this point, I believe there’s been an overreaction to one performance against a TCU program that I expected to regress this season.

Nebraska was extremely unlucky to not win their first game of the Matt Rhule era last week. If the Cornhuskers won that game, the line for this matchup would look more like a pick’em, and I would likely pass. But getting points against a Colorado team that just played an “all-in game” against TCU is appealing enough for me to take a shot on the underdog.

CM: Lafayette ATS over Duke.

The odds for this game have yet to come out, but I am eyeing the Leopards in this one. Duke is coming off a massive win over Clemson on Monday. They might even still be partying their tails off from that upset. Do I think the Leopards have a shot at winning? Hell no. However, I think if the line is higher than the 35-40 range then they could cover the spread in a letdown spot for Duke.

If I end up going through with this play it will be the most disgusting bet I make this fall. I am simply banking on Lafayette to stay somewhat competitive on both ends, make a few stops and score at least once or twice. I need to go take a shower after typing this out.

BW: Nebraska ML +125 over Colorado.

Put that corn on my head because I ride with the Fighting Matt Rhules! This might possibly be the biggest “fade the public” play of all time with everyone and their grandmothers betting Colorado. Yet, how confident are we that the Buffs can replicate their Week 1 success? Between defensive lapses and underwhelming line play, there are clearly some glaring holes in Colorado’s game that are ripe for betting against.

Nebraska’s defense will be much stingier than the sieve that was TCU. In what will likely be a slow-paced game, will Colorado be able to thrive? I’m betting no and taking Nebraska to pull it off on the road.

NJ: Texas Tech ML +210 over Oregon.

This is a game I’ve been looking forward to since the summer because it would be a true test for a College Football Playoff hopeful in Oregon. An evening kickoff against an upstart Texas Tech program in Lubbock looked to be a must-watch game on paper. To add another wrinkle to the intrigue for this game, Red Raiders QB Tyler Shough is a transfer that started his career in Eugene.

Some of the juice for this game took a dip after Texas Tech’s shocking double overtime loss to Wyoming in Week 1. The Red Raiders got out to a perfect start leading 17-0 just 11 minutes into the game and then didn’t score again until the final minute of the fourth quarter. Maybe the high elevation caught up to Texas Tech or they were already thinking about this Week 2 game? I believe it was a flukey loss that creates value on Texas Tech.

Oregon scored 81 points against FCS Portland State last week, but I have big questions for the Ducks’ offense after their OC from last year, Kenny Dillingham, was hired as Arizona State’s head coach. Dillingham had a strong relationship with QB Bo Nix dating back to their days at Auburn, so I’m curious to see how Nix does without Dillingham in a tough road environment. I bet Texas Tech against the spread and they are very live to win this game.

CM: Texas ML +235 over Alabama.

This is such a tough game to pick a side on. Alabama’s defense is just as good as it was a year ago, even without Will Anderson, but their offense has some weak spots as I am not fully sold on their quarterback and wide receivers.

But maybe it’s as simple as being the “Quinn Ewers Revenge Game.” Prior to his injury in last year’s matchup between the two schools, Ewers was owning Alabama. This is now the perfect situation for the Longhorns to announce with a win that they are a legit playoff contender — or, as everyone likes to joke, that they are officially “BAAACCK!”

Ben, Nate and Colby will discuss all of their college football and NFL bets on Stadium Bets. Check out the new show across Stadium’s OTT and OTA channels. Also subscribe on Spotify and Apple for podcast episodes and follow Stadium Bets on Twitter for more sports betting content.

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