College Football Betting: Week 6 Best Picks and Advice

Ben Wittenstein: Under 48 in Kentucky vs. Georgia.

The biggest question for me in this one is how do the Wildcats score? I truly don’t know. They’re normally a run-heavy team, but Georgia’s defense at home has given up an average of 72 rush yards a game — good for a top-20 run defense. We know Kentucky QB Devin Leary has been highly questionable this season with his poor accuracy, and it’s not like the Wildcats love playing uptempo.

For Georgia, they should also struggle to run the ball on Kentucky’s fifth-ranked run defense. And without significant contribution from TE Brock Bowers, the Bulldogs’ offense could also become one-dimensional. With the scope of this game and the style of play these two teams have, let’s go with a low scoring affair on Saturday.

Nate Jacobson: UCLA -3.5 over Washington State.

Going into the season, I was high on UCLA because they avoided Washington and Oregon in their Pac-12 regular season schedule, and they had a deep QB room highlighted by five-star true freshman Dante Moore. It was a forgettable Pac-12 debut for Moore two weeks ago, but it was on the road against a stout Utah defense in one of the toughest environments in college football. I’ll give Moore and Chip Kelly’s offense a pass for struggling in Salt Lake City. Plus, that 14-7 loss has created value on a Bruins team that had a bye last week.

Washington State is off a bye of their own after a 4-0 start and rising to No. 13 in the rankings. Their marquee wins were home victories against Wisconsin in Week 2 and Oregon State in Week 4. While the Cougars have exceeded expectations, I still have questions about their roster quality, especially on defense. Now they have to leave the friendly confines of Pullman for the first time since Week 1 for a game in which UCLA should be more comfortable. I like the home team to cover a modest point spread given the talent levels of both sides.

Colby Marchio: Under 60.5 in Colorado vs. Arizona State.

Colorado is the better team in this matchup. However, I think Arizona State’s defense can hold the better offense from getting into the end zone. This ASU squad has held every team they have played — except USC — to under 30 points. Arizona State’s offense will not be a concern in this matchup. They are ranked 126th in scoring offense and 111th in total offense. If ASU can get some stops on defense and they can stay consistently bad on offense, this bet will be a lock.

BW: Oklahoma under 27.5 team total vs. Texas.

This will be the best defense Dillon Gabriel and the Oklahoma offense will have played up to this point by far. Not only is Texas a top-25 defense, but this is the first time the Sooners will face a defense inside the top 50. It’s a whole different animal. And I know Red River Rivalry games in the past have been shootouts, but with the defensive talent on Texas, Oklahoma may struggle to consistently move the ball, especially if the Longhorns make them one-dimensional. I lean towards the under in general, but really like the Sooners not to go over their team total.

NJ: Iowa -2.5 over Purdue.

Betting on Iowa to cover a point spread in any favorite role is a little uncomfortable, but I’m going to do it this week. The number has moved under a field goal because the Hawkeyes have a new starting quarterback. Wisconsin transfer Deacon Hill will take over for an injured Cade McNamara, who tore his ACL early in Iowa’s comeback win over Michigan State in Week 5. Hill was serviceable in relief and his stats looked worse than they were because of the amount of drops by Hawkeyes receivers. Also, McNamara was already playing at less than 100 percent, so the drop-off to Hill is minimal.

Purdue is coming into this game off a gauntlet of a schedule to start the Ryan Walters era in West Lafayette. They opened with Mountain West power Fresno State before a pair of back-to-back games against Virginia Tech and Syracuse to cap off their non-conference slate. Then they opened conference play on Friday night against Wisconsin and last week crushed Illinois in a game that meant a lot to Walters, who was the Illini’s DC the last two seasons. This is a tough setup for a Purdue team who hasn’t had a breather in the first five games, and is also playing their first road game in a month. I expect Iowa’s defense to have an edge in their matchup and for Hill to make enough throws to cover a short price.

CM: Arkansas +11.5 over Ole Miss.

If you live by a code, you die by a code. After taking down LSU in a shootout last week, Ole Miss fans stormed the field. You know my rule: If fans storm the field/court after a big win, we fade them the following week. This is simply a code play. I love Arkansas QB KJ Jefferson. He is having a solid season so far with 1,050 passing yard and 10 touchdowns. I think the Razorbacks will be revved up to play come Saturday.

BW: Wyoming ML +190 over Fresno State.

Things get weird in Laramie! The last time I picked the Cowboys to pull off an upset they were a 13.5-point underdog against Texas Tech in Week 1 and they got the job done. So we’re saddling up and getting back on our horse for this game against Fresno State.

Wyoming is currently undefeated at home this year and have been playing some truly good football. They covered the spread against Texas in Week 3 and have now won two straight. Fresno sits at an elevation of only 300 feet, and now has to come in for a night game and play a game at over 7,000 feet of elevation. Give me the Cowboys to ride off into the sunset with a dub.

NJ: California ML +310 over Oregon State.

I agree with what Cody said about Arkansas, and I’m going to take a shot at fading another team whose fans stormed the field last week. Oregon State won and covered as a four-point favorite against an Utah team that doesn’t have any juice to their offense without QB Cam Rising. It was an important win for the Beavers to get back on track in what’s shaping up to be a compelling Pac-12 race, but I’m not sold that they are a contender in the conference.

California is certainly not a contender in the Pac-12, but they have a defensive-minded head coach in Justin Wilcox who can give issues to Oregon State QB DJ Uiagalelei and the Golden Bears have enough on offense this season to stay competitive in this game. I wouldn’t be surprised if Cal pulled off the outright upset late on Saturday night.

CM: Utah State ML +130 over Colorado State.

Last week I took Utah State to cover against UConn and they looked like one of the most incompetent teams I have ever seen. They looked lifeless until their starting quarterback went down and their backup sparked the entire team. Cooper Legas came in and threw for 204 yards and three touchdowns. If they can keep that momentum rolling, I believe they can come out on top against Colorado State. Neither team has a great defense, but if the Aggies can stay consistent offensively, this game is theirs.

Ben, Nate and Colby will discuss all of their college football and NFL bets on Stadium Bets. Check out the new show across Stadium’s OTT and OTA channels. Also subscribe on Spotify and Apple for podcast episodes and follow Stadium Bets on Twitter for more sports betting content.