Ben Wittenstein: Oregon State -3 over Arizona.
People have fallen in love with Arizona. They’ve been covering and playing good defense, and the Wildcats have been bet down from +5.5 to +3 in this game. So I’m more than happy to take the Beavers as only a field goal favorite. They’re just a better team.
Arizona has played good opponents tough, but lost. The teams they’ve beaten include Northern Arizona, UTEP, Stanford and Washington State. Not exactly a strong slate there. Oregon State will be good enough offensively to get past the Arizona defense, and I’m not sure how consistently the Wildcats will score.
Nate Jacobson: Under 48 in Oregon vs. Utah.
It’s pretty stunning to see Utah as a 6.5-point home underdog in a stadium they haven’t lost in with fans in attendance since 2018. But I understand why Oregon is a favorite in this game with the Utes playing a backup QB in Bryson Barnes. It will be Barnes going forward, as Cam Rising is confirmed out of the season after sustaining an ACL tear in last season’s Rose Bowl. Barnes showed had some bright spots against a bad USC defense last week, but facing the Oregon defense is a step up in class.
I also like the Utah defense to play well at home in one of the toughest environments in college football. These two teams played a 20-17 game last season with Rising under center and I’m expecting a similar score in Salt Lake City on Saturday.
Colby Marchio: Air Force -13.5 over Colorado State.
Air Force was an 11-point favorite against Navy last week and would’ve covered if not for a late touchdown by Navy to push on the point spread. This week, they go up against a Colorado State team that doesn’t bat any eyes on either side of the football.
Air Force is one of the best and most efficient teams in the country when it comes to running the ball. They are currently ranked fourth on the ground and are going up against a Colorado State defense that is ranked 91st against the run. Defensively, they are also one of the best at defending the pass, and Colorado State loves to air it out offensively. The Falcons are ranked fourth in passing and scoring defense. One thing about the triple option… you can’t stop it. Good luck Colorado State.
BW: Arizona State +5.5 over Washington State.
We’re going “forks up!” I’ve been very high on this ASU defense that fights to stay in games. Washington State, on the other hand, has been slipping as of late. They’re riding a three-game losing streak, while ASU took Washington into the fourth quarter in a competitive game last week. Kenny Dillingham has his guys fight in every game, and I’m more than happy to put my money behind a team that fights.
NJ: Kentucky +3.5 over Tennessee.
I like the spot for Kentucky coming off a bye after losing to Georgia and Missouri. Kentucky got out to a 14-0 lead against Missouri, but a successful fake punt by the Tigers totally flipped the game. The Wildcats’ 38-21 loss isn’t as bad as the final indicates.
I’ve also been looking to bet against Tennessee all season because I’m not a believer in QB Joe Milton. He has flashed at times like we saw in the first half against Alabama when they got out to a 20-7 lead last week in Tuscaloosa. But then the bad version of Milton came out in the second half when the Volunteers were outscored 27-0 in the final 30 minutes. I can see a letdown from Tennessee, who are going on the road for the second straight week.
CM: Utah +6.5 over Oregon.
Ah yes, a ranked home underdog, my favorite! Outside of my code of fading teams that storm the field/court and crying before winning it all, taking a home, ranked ‘dog is a must. Especially when it’s Utah, who has won 18 games in a row at home.
Coming into this game, the Utes have one of the best defenses in the Pac-12. If they can hold down Bo Nix and the Ducks offense, they can stay within the number. Hopefully QB Bryson Barnes can keep it rolling on the offensive end after carving up USC’s defense last week. Sure, that is nothing impressive with how bad USC’s defense is, but anything to get your quarterback some confidence.
Rice-Eccles Stadium is going to be packed. It is going to be bumping and it will be all man ball.
BW: Purdue ML +120 over Nebraska.
Oh boy. I don’t love backing the Boilermakers again, but I have to. I love them as an underdog against a bad Nebraska team.
Who has Nebraska looked good against? Northwestern? Sure, bad team. Illinois? Another bad team. NIU? Louisiana Tech? Meh. They’ve won, but against bad teams.
Purdue has gone through a much tougher schedule. They’re battle-tested, so facing a bad Nebraska team should be a softer test. I’ll take the Boilermakers to win the game.
NJ: Cincinnati ML +250 over Oklahoma State.
These are two teams going in opposite directions. Cincinnati has had a shaky transition into the Big 12 and are on a five-game losing streak. Oklahoma State had a slow start to the season with losses to South Alabama and Iowa State, but have responded with three straight wins as underdogs.
Now the Cowboys are a substantial favorite after getting very little credit over the last month. It’s too big of a leap for Mike Gundy’s team to be over a touchdown favorite, and they have a huge game next week against Oklahoma in the last game between the in-state schools as Big 12 members. I’m going to sell high on Oklahoma State and take a shot on Cincinnati at their lowest point to pull off an upset.
CM: Kentucky ML +150 over Tennessee.
I might just be a Vols hater, but they never give me enough to trust them. They have not played anyone outside of Alabama last week. They showed some promise and then had a grueling meltdown in the second half. They have also lost to Florida, who is also a “nothing special” kind of team.
Kentucky has had a tough last three games going against Florida, Georgia and Missouri, but this is the perfect week to get back in the swing of things. The Vols have been relying heavily on their run game this season and less on their hyped up QB Joe Milton. The Wildcats are currently ranked 13th in the nation in run defense, allowing just under 100 yards per game. Although they are not fantastic against the pass, I have confidence that they can hold off the deep ball and force Milton to make mistakes.
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