Which college football programs produce the most NFL talent relative to the caliber of high school players they enroll?
The NFL’s 53-man rosters were set on Sunday and Alabama led all schools with 56 former players on an active 2019 NFL roster, not including players who are on injured reserve, the physically unable to perform list, suspended or on a practice squad.
We’ve previously analyzed the relationships in college football between the financial investment in recruiting and recruiting class rankings, and recruiting class rankings and wins, and now we’re looking at how recruiting class rankings compare to the number of NFL players college football programs produce.
There’s no perfect way to analyze which programs produce the most pros relative to the talent they enroll but we’re going to be transparent in our methodology.
This study only looks at the 1,696 players who were one of the 32 active NFL rosters as of Tuesday afternoon.
Since college football players must spend at least three years in school before declaring for the NFL draft, the youngest rookies in the NFL this season were members of the 2016 recruiting class.
Therefore, our analysis started with the 2016 recruiting class and we worked backward from there.
In total, we analyzed 10 years of recruiting data (2007 to ’16), using the 247Sports Composite rankings.
Nearly 93 percent of active NFL players (1,573 of 1,696) have nine or fewer years of experience in the league, which is why we looked at 10 years of recruiting data from 2007 to 2016.
In the scatter plot below, we graphed every FBS program based on its average recruiting class ranking over that 10-year span compared to the number of active NFL players it has produced.
UL Monroe and UNLV have the unfortunate distinction of being the only FBS programs without an active NFL player.
Here’s a list of the top 15 schools in terms of the number of active NFL players produced:
1. Alabama: 56
2. Ohio State: 43
T3. Florida: 35
T3. LSU: 35
T5. Florida State: 32
T5: Miami (FL): 32
7. Oklahoma: 31
8. Georgia: 30
T9. Penn State: 28
T9. Texas A&M: 28
T9. Wisconsin: 28
12. Clemson: 27
T13. Auburn: 26
T13. Stanford: 26
T15: Notre Dame: 25
T15. USC: 25
T15: Washington: 25
At the bottom of this story, there’s a chart with the 1-to-130 rankings of the number of NFL players produced by every FBS school.
Over the 10-year period examined, 20 schools averaged a top-25 recruiting class, according to the 247Sports Composite rankings. That means there’s roughly five spots available in a given year for the other 111 FBS programs to compete for a top-25 class and usually those other schools are competing for spots in the 20s.
The chart below lists those 20 programs in descending order of the number of active NFL players they produced, then by their average recruiting class ranking from 2007 to ’16.
In an effort to measure player development efficiency, the last column shows the percentage of the number of active NFL players a college football program has produced compared to the number of blue-chip recruits (4- or 5-star recruits) it enrolled from 2007 to ’16.
This admittedly isn’t a perfect metric to analyze which schools best capitalize on the high-level talent they enroll because it doesn’t account for players who transferred in or out of a program, or players from those recruiting classes who made the NFL but are no longer in the league or are currently on the physically unable to perform list/on injured reserve/suspended.
But to some degree, it can measure what schools have churned out the most pros relative to how many elite prospects they’ve enrolled. The metric is especially interesting for schools like USC and Texas, which arguably have fewer active NFL players – 25 and 22, respectively – than you might expect for schools that enrolled 139 and 150 blue-chip recruits, respectively, from 2007 to ’16.
School | 4/5-Star Recruits (2007-16) | Avg. Recruiting Class Ranking (2007-16) | Number of NFL Players on 53-Man Roster | Active NFL Players/Blue-Chip Recruits |
Alabama | 180 | 2.8 | 56 | 31.1% |
Ohio State | 143 | 13.2 | 43 | 30.0% |
LSU | 150 | 6.4 | 35 | 23.3% |
Florida | 132 | 7.3 | 35 | 26.5% |
Florida State | 130 | 7.8 | 32 | 24.6% |
Miami (FL) | 88 | 16.2 | 32 | 36.3% |
Oklahoma | 109 | 12.7 | 31 | 28.4% |
Georgia | 127 | 7.8 | 30 | 23.6% |
Texas A&M | 86 | 19.3 | 28 | 32.5% |
Clemson | 93 | 16.9 | 27 | 29.0% |
Auburn | 117 | 10.8 | 26 | 22.2% |
USC | 139 | 5.7 | 25 | 17.9% |
Notre Dame | 129 | 10.8 | 25 | 19.3% |
Tennessee | 104 | 13.5 | 24 | 23.0% |
South Carolina | 73 | 20.6 | 24 | 32.8% |
Michigan | 110 | 15.4 | 23 | 20.9% |
UCLA | 98 | 24.1 | 23 | 23.4% |
Texas | 150 | 7.6 | 22 | 14.6% |
Ole Miss | 69 | 20.2 | 21 | 30.4% |
Oregon | 75 | 19.9 | 16 | 21.3% |
NOTE: The number of 4/5-star recruits does not take into account transfers who left or joined a program.
The table above shows which schools have done the most with the most talent (and the least with the most talent) – at least relative to recruiting rankings.
It shouldn’t be a surprise that nine of those 20 schools are in the SEC since that has arguably been the best/deepest/insert adjective here conference in the country in the last 10 to 15 years. Its geographic footprint includes some of the most talent-rich states in the country and many of the conference members are among the schools that spend the most annually on recruiting.
The SEC arguably recruits better classes, top-to-bottom, than any other conference.
Just look at South Carolina, whose average recruiting class ranking from 2007 to ’16 was roughly 20th nationally, yet the Gamecocks had the eighth-best average ranking among SEC schools during that span.
But does better recruiting across the SEC lead to the production of more pros?
The numbers say yes, and by a fairly large margin.
Conference | Number of Active NFL Players | Average Per School |
SEC | 344 | 24.5 |
Big Ten | 250 | 17.8 |
ACC | 218 | 15.5 |
Pac-12 | 196 | 16.3 |
Big 12 | 132 | 13.2 |
American Athletic | 99 | 8.2 |
Mountain West | 65 | 5.4 |
Conference USA | 61 | 4.3 |
MAC | 46 | 3.8 |
Sun Belt | 20 | 2.0 |
What about the opposite end of the spectrum from the Alabamas, Ohio States and USCs of the world?
What schools have taken middling, or worse, recruiting classes and produced more active NFL players than one would expect based on the star rankings of its players?
Wisconsin has 28 active NFL players, which is tied for the ninth-most nationally, even though the Badgers’ average recruiting class ranking from 2007 to ’16 was 41.4.
Wisconsin doing more with less isn’t a new concept.
The Badgers spent just $350,000 on recruiting in 2018, the 50th-most among Power Five schools Stadium examined and less than many Group of Five schools, but their recruiting budget hasn’t typically limited their win totals.
Similarly to Wisconsin, in terms of geography, conference and division, Iowa has produced more NFL talent than would be expected for a school whose average recruiting class ranking was 46.5.
There are 24 former Hawkeyes on an active NFL roster.
Other notable overachievers include N.C. State (19 active NFL players, average recruiting class ranking of 44.9), UCF (16, 66.1), Temple (15, 79.5), Memphis (12, 78.1), Central Michigan (10, 99.6) and Utah State (9, 105.9).
Notable underachievers include Arizona (5, 45.0), Minnesota (5, 51.0), Baylor (7, 42.2), Arizona State (10, 33.2) and Arkansas (12, 26.7).
Here’s the complete 1-to-130 list of FBS programs, listed in descending order of the number of active NFL players they’ve produced, then in alphabetical order in the case of ties.
Rank | School | Active NFL Players | Avg. Recruiting Class Ranking (2007-16) |
1 | Alabama | 56 | 2.8 |
2 | Ohio State | 43 | 13.2 |
T3 | Florida | 35 | 7.3 |
T3 | LSU | 35 | 6.4 |
T5 | Florida State | 32 | 7.8 |
T5 | Miami (FL) | 32 | 16.2 |
7 | Oklahoma | 31 | 12.7 |
8 | Georgia | 30 | 7.8 |
T9 | Penn State | 28 | 28.0 |
T9 | Texas A&M | 28 | 19.3 |
T9 | Wisconsin | 28 | 41.4 |
12 | Clemson | 27 | 16.9 |
T13 | Auburn | 26 | 10.8 |
T13 | Stanford | 26 | 27.8 |
T15 | Notre Dame | 25 | 10.8 |
T15 | USC | 25 | 5.7 |
T15 | Washington | 25 | 31.0 |
T18 | Iowa | 24 | 46.5 |
T18 | South Carolina | 24 | 20.6 |
T18 | Tennessee | 24 | 13.5 |
T21 | Michigan | 23 | 15.4 |
T21 | UCLA | 23 | 24.1 |
23 | Texas | 22 | 7.6 |
24 | Ole Miss | 21 | 20.2 |
25 | Mississippi State | 20 | 30.4 |
T26 | California | 19 | 31.5 |
T26 | Nebraska | 19 | 27.0 |
T26 | NC State | 19 | 44.9 |
T29 | Oregon | 16 | 19.9 |
T29 | UCF | 16 | 66.1 |
T29 | West Virginia | 16 | 35.9 |
T32 | Louisville | 15 | 42.0 |
T32 | North Carolina | 15 | 25.2 |
T32 | Temple | 15 | 79.5 |
T32 | Utah | 15 | 48.2 |
T36 | Michigan State | 14 | 30.8 |
T36 | Pittsburgh | 14 | 37.2 |
T36 | TCU | 14 | 41.5 |
T36 | Virginia Tech | 14 | 27.3 |
T40 | Boston College | 13 | 57.5 |
T40 | Colorado | 13 | 53.1 |
T40 | Illinois | 13 | 47.7 |
T40 | Virginia | 13 | 41.4 |
T44 | Arkansas | 12 | 26.7 |
T44 | Maryland | 12 | 39.8 |
T44 | Memphis | 12 | 78.1 |
T44 | Missouri | 12 | 35.4 |
T44 | Oklahoma State | 12 | 31.9 |
T49 | Kentucky | 11 | 48.5 |
T49 | Northwestern | 11 | 56.9 |
T49 | Rutgers | 11 | 43.4 |
T49 | Texas Tech | 11 | 40.2 |
T53 | Arizona State | 10 | 33.2 |
T53 | BYU | 10 | 56.0 |
T53 | Central Michigan | 10 | 99.6 |
T53 | Cincinnati | 10 | 66.8 |
T53 | Houston | 10 | 65.2 |
T53 | Kansas State | 10 | 58.0 |
T53 | Oregon State | 10 | 51.8 |
T53 | Purdue | 10 | 63.5 |
T53 | SMU | 10 | 75.4 |
T53 | Southern Miss | 10 | 70.2 |
T53 | Vanderbilt | 10 | 53.2 |
T64 | Boise State | 9 | 68.7 |
T64 | Colorado State | 9 | 89.7 |
T64 | Duke | 9 | 61.3 |
T64 | Indiana | 9 | 59.9 |
T64 | Utah State | 9 | 105.9 |
T64 | Washington State | 9 | 57.3 |
T70 | UConn | 8 | 82.7 |
T70 | Florida Atlantic | 8 | 99.7 |
T70 | Toledo | 8 | 82.8 |
T70 | Wyoming | 8 | 105.4 |
T74 | Baylor | 7 | 42.2 |
T74 | Fresno State | 7 | 82.6 |
T74 | San Jose State | 7 | 98.9 |
T74 | Western Kentucky | 7 | 103.9 |
T78 | Georgia Tech | 6 | 47.4 |
T78 | Marshall | 6 | 68.1 |
T78 | South Florida | 6 | 57.3 |
T78 | Tulane | 6 | 89.8 |
T82 | Arizona | 5 | 45.0 |
T82 | Kansas | 5 | 56.5 |
T82 | Louisiana Tech | 5 | 88.0 |
T82 | Minnesota | 5 | 51.0 |
T82 | Northern Illinois | 5 | 100.4 |
T82 | Old Dominion | 5 | 115.9 |
T82 | Rice | 5 | 95.0 |
T82 | San Diego State | 5 | 75.8 |
T82 | Wake Forest | 5 | 62.8 |
T91 | Akron | 4 | 109.0 |
T91 | Appalachian State | 4 | 117.3 |
T91 | East Carolina | 4 | 82.3 |
T91 | Georgia State | 4 | 122.1 |
T91 | Iowa State | 4 | 62.0 |
T91 | Kent State | 4 | 108.0 |
T91 | Nevada | 4 | 94.6 |
T91 | Syracuse | 4 | 61.2 |
T91 | Troy | 4 | 96.1 |
T91 | UAB | 4 | 95.7 |
T91 | Western Michigan | 4 | 87.1 |
T102 | Florida International | 3 | 93.9 |
T102 | Hawaii | 3 | 88.1 |
T102 | UMass | 3 | 115.0 |
T102 | Middle Tennessee | 3 | 92.4 |
T106 | Air Force | 2 | 108.7 |
T106 | Arkansas State | 2 | 97.5 |
T106 | Army | 2 | 115.8 |
T106 | Bowling Green | 2 | 99.3 |
T106 | Buffalo | 2 | 112.4 |
T106 | Eastern Michigan | 2 | 112.8 |
T106 | Miami (OH) | 2 | 95.6 |
T106 | New Mexico | 2 | 96.1 |
T106 | North Texas | 2 | 99.3 |
T106 | Ohio | 2 | 102.7 |
T106 | Texas State | 2 | 110.0 |
T117 | Ball State | 1 | 102.0 |
T117 | Charlotte | 1 | 123.2 |
T117 | Coastal Carolina | 1 | 138.0 |
T117 | Georgia Southern | 1 | 112.8 |
T117 | Liberty | 1 | 151.9 |
T117 | Louisiana | 1 | 100.1 |
T117 | Navy | 1 | 109.6 |
T117 | New Mexico State | 1 | 112.2 |
T117 | South Alabama | 1 | 103.9 |
T117 | Tulsa | 1 | 81.8 |
T117 | UTEP | 1 | 115.3 |
T117 | UTSA | 1 | 114.8 |
T129 | UL Monroe | 0 | 112.3 |
T129 | UNLV | 0 | 99.0 |
MORE: Georgia Spent $2.6M on Recruiting Last Year. How Much Did Your School Spend?