Looking for a Resume-Building Win? Here’s Who You Have to Beat to Get One

We’re roughly halfway through the 2018-19 college basketball season, which is the first season with the NET rankings that replaced the RPI in the offseason. As a reminder, the following section lists the quadrant breakdown that is used on the NCAA’s team sheets that organize every program’s wins and losses:

Quadrant 1: Home 1-30; Neutral 1-50; Away 1-75
Quadrant 2: Home 31-75; Neutral 51-100; Away 76-135
Quadrant 3: Home 76-160; Neutral 101-200; Away 136-240
Quadrant 4: Home 161-plus; Neutral 201-plus; Away 241-plus

Now that we’re in the heart of conference play, all that matters for upcoming games are the home and road breakdowns – at least until the start of conference tournaments that bring back neutral-court action.

We examined the current NET rankings for major conferences to see where teams can potentially pick up Quadrant 1 wins and which schools have the potential to represent a Quadrant 3 or Quadrant 4 loss on a bad night.

As a reminder, the NET rankings are updated daily and they can be found here on the NCAA’s website. The NCAA Men’s Basketball Selection Committee will use the final rankings at the season’s end – not the rankings at the time of the matchup.

ACC

Twelve of the 15 teams in the ACC, or 80 percent, represent a possible Quadrant 1 win on the road, while the conference’s top six teams in the NET rankings offer the opportunity for a Quadrant 1 win at home.

Currently, only Miami, Boston College and Wake Forest represent potential pitfalls for fellow ACC teams. Losing to the Hurricanes at home would be a Quadrant 3 loss, losing to Boston College would be a Quadrant 3 loss at home or on the road, and Wake Forest at No. 177 represents a dreaded Quadrant 4 loss at home and Quadrant 3 loss on the road.

No. 17 NC State learned that the hard way on Tuesday night as the Wolfpack lost 71-67 at Wake Forest, adding a Quadrant 3 loss.

Here’s the NET breakdown for every ACC team.

Beating the following teams regardless of location will result in a Quadrant 1 win.

No. 1 Virginia

No. 4 Duke

No. 9 Virginia Tech

No. 13 North Carolina

No. 19 Louisville

No. 30 NC State

Beating the following teams on the road will result in a Quadrant 1 win.

No. 34 Florida State

No. 49 Syracuse

No. 53 Pittsburgh

No. 59 Clemson

No. 70 Georgia Tech

No. 71 Notre Dame

Losing to the following teams could potentially result in a Quadrant 3 or Quadrant 4 loss depending on the location.

No. 93 Miami

No. 141 Boston College

No. 177 Wake Forest

Big 12

Playing in the Big 12 is a blessing and a curse. Nine of the 10 teams in the conference represent a Quadrant 1 win if you beat them on the road and a win over any of the top five at home would also result in a Quadrant 1 win. That means there are almost exclusively good wins (and no bad losses) available.

However, that also means that almost every game in conference play is against a team with realistic NCAA Tournament hopes. Coaches often like to say how there are no days off or no free wins in conference play and that sentiment may be most applicable to the Big 12.

Here’s the NET breakdown for every Big 12 team.

Beating the following teams regardless of location will result in a Quadrant 1 win.

No. 5 Texas Tech

No. 12 Kansas

No. 15 Oklahoma

No. 24 Iowa State

No. 25 TCU

Beating the following teams on the road will result in a Quadrant 1 win.

No. 43 Texas

No. 51 Kansas State

No. 66 Baylor

No. 68 Oklahoma State

Losing to the following team at home will result in a Quadrant 3 loss.

No. 100 West Virginia

Big East

The Big East is in an interesting position where it has just two teams that are just inside the top 30 of the NET rankings – meaning they represent Quadrant 1 wins at home – but no teams ranked outside of the top 100 and a handful of teams that are close to important cutoff points (e.g. No. 30, No. 50, No. 75).

For example, Xavier is ranked No. 80 in the NET as of Wednesday. That means currently, a loss to the Musketeers at home would be a Quadrant 3 loss. But if they improve at least five spots to No. 75 or better, then a road win at Xavier would fall under Quadrant 1. It’s that dichotomy of potentially strong wins and potentially damaging losses that could make or break how many Big East teams make the NCAA Tournament and how they’re seeded.

That means we may not know what the quadrant breakdown on a Big East squad’s team sheet will look like until after the conference tournament. If Marquette or Villanova slips outside of the 20s without St. John’s or Seton Hall climbing into the top, that means there would only be one Quadrant 1 win available at home and Big East teams would have to win on the road – and do so multiple times – to pad their resumes.

Here’s the NET breakdown for every Big East team.

Beating the following teams regardless of location will result in a Quadrant 1 win.

No. 21 Marquette

No. 26 Villanova

Beating the following teams on the road will result in a Quadrant 1 win.

No. 37 St. John’s

No. 47 Seton Hall

No. 52 Butler

No. 56 Creighton

Losing to the following teams at home would result in a Quadrant 3 loss.

No. 80 Xavier

No. 85 Providence

No. 92 DePaul

No. 98 Georgetown

Big Ten

After only sending four teams to the NCAA Tournament last season, the Big Ten is in position to earn twice as many bids to this year’s tournament and potentially even more than that.

Currently, half of the teams in the conference are ranked in the top 30, meaning a home win over any of those teams would fall under Quadrant 1.

Four other teams are ranked in the top 75, with No. 83 Penn State just shy of that cutoff, meaning there are 11 teams in the 14-team conference that represent a chance to earn a Quadrant 1 win on the road.

The only potential Quadrant 3 losses are losing to Penn State, Illinois or Rutgers at home. The Scarlet Knights are currently ranked No. 131 and if they fall at least five more spots, a road loss to Rutgers would become a Quadrant 3 loss as well, rather than the Quadrant 2 loss it is currently.

Here’s the NET breakdown for every Big Ten team.

Beating the following teams regardless of location will result in a Quadrant 1 win.

No. 2 Michigan

No. 7 Michigan State

No. 10 Nebraska

No. 17 Purdue

No. 18 Maryland

No. 20 Wisconsin

No. 27 Iowa

Beating the following teams on the road will result in a Quadrant 1 win.

No. 31 Indiana

No. 36 Ohio State

No. 48 Minnesota

No. 58 Northwestern

These teams represent a Quadrant 2 win on the road and a Quadrant 3 loss at home.

No. 83 Penn State

No. 126 Illinois

No. 131 Rutgers

Pac-12

Here’s where this discussion gets fun – and by fun, we actually mean miserable. The only potential Quadrant 1 wins in the Pac-12 are only available by beating Washington, Arizona or Oregon State on the road.

With not a single team in the conference ranked in the top 30, Pac-12 teams can’t pick up a single Quadrant 1 win by beating a conference opponent at home. There are currently nine teams, or 75 percent of the Pac-12 membership, that represent a potential Quadrant 3 or Quadrant 4 loss, depending on the location.

This is why mentions of the Pac-12 potentially only sending one team to the NCAA Tournament aren’t so far-fetched.

Here’s the NET breakdown for every Pac-12 team.

Beating the following teams on the road will result in a Quadrant 1 win.

No. 38 Washington

No. 50 Arizona

No. 69 Oregon State

Losing to the following teams at home could result in a Quadrant 3 loss, while beating them on the road would result in a Quadrant 2 win.

No. 77 Oregon

No. 79 Arizona State

No. 91 UCLA

No. 94 Colorado

No. 109 USC

No. 110 Utah

No. 124 Stanford

Losing to the following teams on the road would result in a Quadrant 3 loss, while a loss at home would be a Quadrant 4 loss.

No. 200 Washington State

No. 227 California

SEC

The SEC is somewhat symmetrical with five teams in the top 30, three between 30 and 75, and six ranked worse than No. 75. This is true of every conference, but perhaps of special importance in the SEC (similar to the Big East): where teams finish in regards to the important No. 30, No. 50 and No. 75 cutoffs is critical.

For example, the SEC currently has five teams ranked between No. 76 and No. 87, so potential Quadrant 1 wins could be available on the road against slightly more than a third of the teams in the conference, but only if those teams make small climbs in the NET rankings to crack the top 75.

That same group of teams that’s ranked outside of the top 75 also represent potential Quadrant 3 losses at home and that’s concerning when six of the SEC’s 14 teams carry that potential impact.

With the conference’s upper tier firmly positioned in the top 30, there are frequent Quadrant 1 wins available at home. South Carolina at No. 133 is the only team that runs the risk of dropping to No. 136 or worse, which would represent a Quadrant 3 loss on the road.

Slight improvements in the NET rankings from Mississippi State, Vanderbilt and Arkansas could potentially do wonders for the conference.

Here’s the NET breakdown for every SEC team.

Beating the following teams regardless of location will result in a Quadrant 1 win.

No. 3 Tennessee

No. 11 Kentucky

No. 16 LSU

No. 22 Auburn

No. 28 Ole Miss

Beating the following teams on the road will result in a Quadrant 1 win.

No. 33 Mississippi State

No. 41 Florida

No. 62 Alabama

These teams represent a Quadrant 2 win on the road and a Quadrant 3 loss at home.

No. 76 Vanderbilt

No. 78 Arkansas

No. 81 Texas A&M

No. 86 Georgia

No. 87 Missouri

No. 133 South Carolina