NBA Best Bets: Friday, January 27

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    Well, I think we’re officially on a heater. We’re  +5 units in 2023 and the wins keep on rolling. I want to embrace the success since the inevitable downfall is coming.

    So for now, weeeeeeeee!

    Categories:
    Layups: 2-Unit Plays
    Two-Pointers: 1-Unit Plays
    Three-Pointers: 0.75-Unit Plays
    Half-Court Shot: 0.5-Unit Plays

    Last Week: 3-1 (+1.75 units)
    Season Record: 25-21-1 (-0.9 units)

    Two-Pointers

    Brook Lopez Over 1.5 Threes (-125): I fell in love with this play early in the day for multiple reasons. Lopez is coming off a terrible shooting game against Denver and I love betting on guys like him to have bounce-back games. He’s also playing the Pacers who are second-worst in the NBA at three-point defense, meaning the opportunities will be aplenty for Brook.

    He’s taking over five threes a game during his last ten, and he has hit 2.1 a game in that span. The last time he played Indy, he hit 3-of-5. It should be a good night for Lopez, and just hitting two at this number seems like a great bet.

    Three-Pointers

    Draymond Green Points/Assists Over 14.5 (-115): Now I’m not the biggest Draymond fan in the world, but with betting, I have to put my morals aside for the good of making money. The Raptors are a perfect opponent for Draymond since they don’t have a true center. In his last game against the Raps, Draymond ate for 17 points, five assists, and nine rebounds.

    Draymond gets most of his offensive work done within 10 feet of the basket, and — oh, would you look at that — over their last 10 games, the Raptors are sixth-worst in the league in FG% given up within 10 feet. The Raptors have also given up the third-worst three-point FG% in the league over the last 10 games, meaning plenty of scoring opportunities for the Warriors are coming off Draymond’s passes. He should soar over his points/assists number tonight.

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