Get over your college basketball hangover because we have a HUGE slate of NBA games tonight. It’s honestly overwhelming.

It’s fine though because there are some good spots to hit, and that’s exactly what we’ll be doing!

Categories:
Layups: 2-Unit Plays
Two-Pointers: 1-Unit Plays
Three-Pointers: 0.75-Unit Plays
Half-Court Shot: 0.5-Unit Plays

Last Week: 0-1 (-0.825 units)
Season Record: 37-29-1 (+1.64 units)

Two-Pointers

Hawks Under 114.5 Points (-120): No Trae Young? No points for the ATL. The Hawks struggle without him, averaging about 111.7 points a game this season. In their last five games without Young, the Hawks have scored 103, 107, 105, 125 and 108.

On top of that, the Bulls have been playing lights-out defense as of late, only giving up an average of 109 points a game over their last 10. This matchup also has big play-in game repercussions so the pace could be slower than a normal game. Taking all of that into account, I love this under for ATL.

Sixers -2 vs. Celtics (-110): I know that it seems like a crazy thing to say, but the Celtics are a very different team without Robert Williams (5-5 ATS in March without him). They miss Williams’ physicality and presence down low and should struggle against the Embiid-led 76ers. Philly also defends the three-point line well, giving up the fifth-least amount of three-pointers while playing the fourth-best three-point defense in the league in terms of percentage.

While Philly has played below-average defense as of late, they should be due for some positive regression back home where they have a top-10 defensive rating this year. Jaylen Brown also not being 100% should help the 76ers even more in their quest not to get swept by Boston this year.

Lu Dort Over 5.5 Rebounds (-102): I love me some Lu Dort props, so let’s take his rebounding number in a game where there will be plenty of shots. Both OKC and the Warriors are in the top 12 in possessions over their last 10 games, meaning the number of shots is going to be higher than normal.

Dort has hit over this number in eight games in a row, while Golden State has given up an average of seven rebounds a game to opposing shooting guards over the last seven. The sheer amount of possessions combined with a number that Dort has hit a bunch makes me love this play with a low amount of juice.

Three-Pointers

Coby White Over 1.5 Threes (-120): White’s been hitting over this number pretty consistently with 2+ threes in eight of his last ten games. Tonight, he’ll face a sub-par Atlanta defense that has given up a league-worst 46% three-point percentage in their last three road games. The volume is there for White, who normally takes anywhere between 5-8 threes a game and has been playing a steady 25-32 minutes per contest.