NBA Best Bets: Tuesday, December 14

I like to mirror this column with the state of the NBA, which has recently featured nothing but insanity. So that’s why I’m releasing my picks this week on Tuesday. Betcha didn’t see that coming!

Let’s hope the ~chaos~ gets our overall record into plus-.500 territory this week. We’ve only got a three-game slate to choose from tonight, so we really have to be strategic with the choices.

Categories:

Layups: The bets I really like and feel the most confident in.
Two-Pointers: The bets I like a lot and feel fairly confident in.
Three-Pointers: The bets I like but don’t feel as confident in.
Half-Court Shot: A long underdog I like to win straight-up.

Record: 21-21-1 (-0.8 Units)

Layups

None this week.

Two-Pointers

Steph Curry Points, Rebounds, Assists Over 37.5 (-107): It’s basically Steph Curry Night at the World’s Most Famous Arena. He has a chance to make history, although he has been playing sub-average basketball lately. This is the perfect time to bet on him.

If you’ve watched Steph play the last few games, you’ve seen him be a bit off. He’s turning the ball over (14 in his last three games) and missing shots (14/46 from three in three games). Well, that ends now. He’s only two threes away from breaking Ray Allen’s record, and once he does, he’ll be able to play more free and easy. I think we’re going to see a massive game from him tonight in MSG, so let’s try to make some money off it.

Suns-Blazers Under 219 (-110): The chaos is strong with both of these teams. The Suns are missing their two superstars in Devin Booker and Deandre Ayton. Plus, they’re going to be without Frank Kaminsky. The Blazers won’t have CJ McCollum, and Dame is just getting back.

Without its superstars, Phoenix has been playing slower, maintaining a top-10 defensive rating over its last five games. Portland unders are 4-1 as an underdog, and the Suns have hit the under in six of their last seven games. Expect this one to be a bit of a slog.

Three-Pointers

Raptors +5 vs. Nets (-110): The Nets are really banged up. They’ve got five players in health and safety protocols, and Kevin Durant was listed as questionable this morning with ankle soreness.

The Raptors, on the other hand, have looked like they’re getting it together, winning four of their last five. The Raps also have a 58% winning percentage as a home dog in 12 games this year. Even though Toronto is on the second game of a back-to-back, I think this is a good spot for them to beat a shorthanded Nets team.

Half-Court Shot

None this week.