NBA Best Bets: Tuesday, December 6

Oh, we’re grooving. Another over-.500 week for us and the positivity has never been higher.

Will this card humble us? That’s only for the Gambling Gods — whom I love dearly and think are the best — to know.

Categories:
Layups: 2-Unit Plays
Two-Pointers: 1-Unit Plays
Three-Pointers: 0.75-Unit Plays
Half-Court Shot: 0.5-Unit Plays

Last Week: 2-1-1 (-0.1 units)
Season Record: 12-12-1 (-4.05 units)

Two-Pointers

LeBron James Over 26.5 Points (-105): The King returns to Cleveland! And when the King returns to his home state, he puts on a show. LeBron averages 34 points a game against the Cavs in Cleveland in his career (he’s currently averaging 26 points per game this season). With Anthony Davis’ current hot streak, the Cavs’ defensive focus will surely be on stopping him, giving the kid from Akron plenty of space to operate. LeBron has hit this over in his last three games, and I’m expecting him to have a night.

Darius Garland Over 2.5 Threes (+105): This is a tail of my friend, and “Live on the Line” host, Cam Smith. I love this play because of the volume of threes that Garland takes. He’s averaged over six three-point attempts per game over his last 10, and he’s coming off a game where he shot nine threes. The opportunities will be there, especially for a guy shooting 38 percent from three. The Lakers are outside the top 10 in three-pointers given up, standing at 21st in opponent three-pointers attempted. The chances will be there and Garland should find success at home.

Mavericks-Nuggets Under 223 (-110): Four of the last five Nuggets-Mavs games have gone under this number, and the Nuggets have hit six of eight unders at home this season. Not only do the Mavs play with the second-slowest pace in the league, but this matchup has evolved into somewhat of a rivalry between the two teams, who are very familiar with each other. Expect a slower, deliberate pace and take advantage of a weirdly high number.

Three-Pointers

Bojan Bogdanovic Over 18.5 Points (+100): Oh my sweet boy, Bojan. Being stashed away in Detroit is no easy task, but being the true professional that he is, he’s found pretty decent success as the Pistons’ main offensive weapon. Tonight, he takes on a Miami Heat team that is second to last in three-pointers given up. As almost a 42 percent three-point shooter this season, Bojan should feast. No Isaiah Livers, either, meaning Detroit will be more reliant on Bojan. He averages over 20 points per game on the road this season, and is coming off a game that saw him play only 24 minutes when he normally averages 32. There should be plenty of time and chances for Bojan to hit this over tonight.