NBA Best Bets: Wednesday, April 6

Here we are, folks. I may or may not be tearing up in the office right now because this is the last regular-season NBA betting article of the year.

Okay, well now I’m getting some weird looks from my co-workers.

Anyways, we started out hot, then got REAL cold pretty fast. But much like when Taco Bell got rid of the Chipotle Chicken Loaded Grillers, I persevered through the adversity, and we ended the regular season on a heater.

I do want to thank everyone for reading along this season — hopefully you made some money along the way. And also thank you to Wil Herrmuth for being the best editor and making me look like a normal person. But don’t worry, there’ll be much more postseason content and picks coming, so we’re definitely going to be making some cash in the playoffs.

As for now, let’s end the regular season on a high note.

Categories:
Layups: 2-Unit Plays
Two-Pointers: 1-Unit Plays
Three-Pointers: 0.75-Unit Plays

Record: 66-52-3 (+10.51 units)

Layups

Hawks -6 1H (-110) vs. Wizards: I’m embracing my inner-nerd with this analytics-friendly pick. According to the numbers, the Atlanta Hawks have the best first-half net rating over the last five games and have the fifth-best first-half scoring margin over the last three games. In short, the Hawks have recently been a dominant first-half team. Now, they get a Wizards squad on the third game of a road trip AND on a back-to-back. Plus, they still have a shot to move up in the playoff standings. Let’s go with the numbers and ride them first half.

Clippers 1H ML (-115) vs. Suns: You know how the Hawks have recently been one of the best first-half teams? Well, the Clippers have ALSO been one of the best first-half teams since Paul George returned four games ago. They have an INSANE +14 first-half scoring margin over their last three games, and now face a Suns team on a back-to-back with nothing to play for at this point. I wouldn’t be surprised if Phoenix rested some guys, or at the very least, relaxed a bit since they’re solely in first place in the West. The Clips are fighters, and Ty Lue has had his guys start fast, so we’ll ride that wave with confidence.

Two-Pointers

Kyrie Irving Over 26.5 Points (-110): The Nets are stuck in the mud — and Kevin Durant scoring 55 points isn’t even helping them. It’s time for Kyrie to step up, and I think he does against the Knicks. He’s been having some high-scoring games himself, hitting 42 vs. the Rockets and 31 against the Hawks. Going up against the Knicks in the Garden means that it’s time for Kyrie to show up and dominate a cooked Knicks team.

Three-Pointers

Thunder +17.5 @ Utah (-110): Yeahhhhh, so the Jazz shouldn’t be 17.5-point favorites against anyone in the league right now. On top of that, the Thunder are actually decent ATS when they’re double-digit underdogs. OKC has a record of 19-11-1 when they’re underdogs of 10+ points, while the Jazz are not great as double-digit favorites, posting a 7-16-1 ATS record. Good luck knowing more than half of the Thunder starting lineup, but this is a team that fights — and a loss of 18 or more against a flailing Jazz team seems like a bit of a stretch.

Marcus Smart Over 6.5 assists (+110): He is now a point god in my eyes. Smart hit his assists for us last week, so let’s ride him again against a not-so-good Bulls defense. Chicago gives up the eighth-most assists per game to point guards, and Smart has hit 7+ assists in four of his last six games. As long as Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown are going to continue to score (spoiler: they will), Smart’s assists will continue to hit.