Do you feel that? It’s just some extra warmth from when you opened the article. But why? Because we’re on a bit of a heater here. I’m 13-6-1 in the month of March, winning over eight units.
Let’s end our best month (yet) in a good way.
Categories:
Layups: 2-Unit Plays
Two-Pointers: 1-Unit Plays
Three-Pointers: 0.75-Unit Plays
Half-Court Shot: 0.5-Unit Plays
Record: 63-50-3 (+8.78 units)
Layups
Grizzlies 1Q Team Total Over 29.5 (-110)* *Don’t bet if Jaren Jackson Jr. is ruled out. This is honestly just an auto-bet for me at this point. The Grizzlies have been hot-starters in games this season, so we’re going to continue to ride one of my favorite bets in the NBA (it’s hit in every game but four since Jan. 26). They didn’t hit it last time out against the Warriors, but it was also one of the few times they were without both Jaren Jackson AND Ja Morant. As long as JJJ is back in, this is a good bet.
Two-Pointers
Nuggets 1H -5.5 (-115): The Nuggets have been one of my favorite teams to bet on for the first half when they’re on the road. They’ve got a stunning 24-14-1 record ATS in the first half away from Denver, and with the horrible Pacers sitting most of their players anyways, this should be a good spot for Denver to put the hurt on early.
Suns -4.5 (-105) @ Warriors: The Warriors are not good without Steph. Since his injury against the Celtics, they’ve gone 1-5 ATS. Big yikes. The Suns now have CP3 back and have covered in four of their last five. These are two different teams going in two different directions. I’ll trust a good Suns team to do work on the road where they’re also a stellar 23-13 ATS.
Three-Pointers
Timberwolves +2.5 (-110) @ Raptors: Sure, the Raptors have won three games in a row, but they were against the shorthanded Celtics, a bad Pacers squad and an injury-riddled Cavs team. I’m not sure if Toronto can keep that consistency up against a good team in the T-Wolves. Minnesota has been playing really well since the All-Star break, posting the fourth-best net rating in the league. I think Minnesota should have more than enough to not only cover this game but even win it.
Marcus Smart Over 6.5 Assists (+108): That’s point guard Marcus Smart, to you. The Celtics have had Smart play the PG role as of late, and it’s been working really well. He’s been averaging 7.4 assists since the All-Star break, an increase from 5.3 pre-break. The new point guard role fits him well and now that he’ll have both Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown back in the lineup, he’ll have plenty of scorers. Plus, the Heat give up an average of 7.9 assists per game to opposing point guards. I like the line, and I LOVE the juice.
