I got a taste of that sweet, sweet undefeated nectar for Game 1, and now I want the full meal.

We go undefeated again tonight!

Categories:
Layups: 2-Unit Plays
Two-Pointers: 1-Unit Plays
Three-Pointers: 0.75-Unit Plays
Half-Court Shot: 0.5-Unit Plays

Game 1: 2-0 (+2 units)
Season: 46-42 (-1.1 units)

Layups

Under 214.5 (-110): The total has dropped in all three games of this series, decreasing from 218.5 to 216.5 to now 214.5. I think it’s still too high. If not for a 36-point fourth quarter from the Heat where they shot 55% from three and 69% (nice) from the field, the total in Game 2 likely goes under. The Heat are also unlikely to hit 17 threes again, which was almost four more than their average during the postseason.

With the series tied, Game 3 should slow down a bit more than it already has, and it’s been SLOW. The teams have been playing with a pace of 89.7, which is below the NBA season average of 98.4. The fact that we’re going to see a slow-paced game and likely fewer made shots as the Heat revert to the mean is why I like the under play here.

Three-Pointers

Michael Porter Jr. Over 2.5 Threes (-115): It was a rough Game 2 for our friend MPJ. Only five points and six boards — and then he got not-so-discretely called out by his head coach. He’s had a solid postseason from downtown, so I think after all that, he should bounce back. The last time he had a rough shooting game, he bounced back with three tres, and then before that, he hit five threes following a 2-9 performance. With Nikola Jokic surely looking to facilitate more, MPJ should have plenty of opportunities to hit from downtown.