NBA Playoffs Best Bets: Thursday, April 28

Oh baby, we’ve got some elimination games tonight, which makes for fun betting opportunities. I think the Mavs and Suns can both end it, and let’s also ride with my fellow IU alum OG Anunoby.

Categories:
Layups: 2-Unit Plays
Two-Pointers: 1-Unit Plays
Three-Pointers: 0.75-Unit Plays
Half-Court Shot: 0.5-Unit Plays

Record: 73-60-3 (+9.34 units)

Layups

Mavs -1 (-110) @ Jazz: The Jazz just aren’t good. Mike Conley has been close to useless, Donovan Mitchell is semi-hurt, and Rudy Gobert is Rudy Gobert. I know the Jazz can be a different team at home, but the Mavs are the better team in this series and have more than enough firepower with Luka Doncic, in addition to a really stout defense. As long as this line stays below -2, I’m taking it.

Two-Pointers

Suns -2 (-110) @ Pelicans: Once again, I’m not sure why the Suns’ number is so low — they’re better than the Pels even at 75 percent. All respect in the world to Jose Alverado, but New Orleans just doesn’t have the personnel to counter most of what the Suns can do. Phoenix saw that they can win games without Devin Booker, and now the Pels are going to have a hard time stopping them. This game might be at the Smoothie King Center, but it won’t be a smooth time for the Pelicans (please clap).

OG Anunoby Over 17.5 points (-115): OG hit over this mark in the first three games of the series, and then fell off a bit. I’m betting he gets back to it tonight in another must-win game for the Raps. His shooting volume has only gone up during the regular season, and he’s averaging a tad over seven three-point attempts a game. He’ll once again have plenty of scoring opportunities with Fred VanVleet out of the lineup, and the 76ers showed no ability to guard the paint in Game 5, which will leave OG with plenty of space to get his over.

Three-Pointers

Jalen Brunson Over 20.5 points (-110): Sure, Luka is back but Brunson has still been getting his. He’s hit the 21-point mark in every single game of the series. The Mavs are going to need his production if they want any shot at winning, and he’ll get plenty of chances against a shaky Jazz defense that struggles to guard the perimeter.