Minnesota and Oklahoma picked up massive home wins Tuesday night over Purdue and Kansas, respectively, which might have clinched at-large bids for the Gophers and Sooners.
There are numerous NCAA Tournament bubble teams in action Wednesday, including Seton Hall, Florida, Georgetown and Clemson. Each could really use a win, if not several, to solidify its push for an at-large bid.
Let’s see how tonight’s results could affect the NCAA Tournament resumes of the teams involved.
The NCAA Tournament seed projections listed below are from Stadium’s latest projections, which were published Monday.
No. 16 Marquette at Seton Hall, 6:30 p.m. ET
Marquette (23-6) | No. 26 NET | 9-4 Quadrant 1, 5-2 Quadrant 2, 2-0 Quadrant 3, 7-0 Quadrant 4
Stadium’s latest NCAA Tournament projection: No. 4 seed
Seton Hall (16-12) | No. 63 NET | 4-7 Quadrant 1, 6-3 Quadrant 2, 2-2 Quadrant 3, 4-0 Quadrant 4
Stadium’s latest NCAA Tournament projection: First Four Out
Seton Hall appeared in the First Four Out of Stadium’s latest NCAA Tournament projections, but the Pirates can improve their bubble status with a home with over Marquette and/or Villanova this week.
The final week of their schedule is in their favor as they get to host the Big East’s top two teams – each of which represents a potential Quadrant 1 win – as the Pirates try to climb onto the right side of the bubble.
It might only take one win for Seton Hall to reach a projected No. 11/12 seed, but an 0-2 week would put the Pirates in a precarious position where it would take a run in the Big East Tournament to make the field.
Marquette needs a win to stay in Big East title contention and to avoid a slide off the No. 4 seed line. Even though Seton Hall is currently on the outside of Stadium’s NCAA Tournament projections, this is still a Quadrant 1 game for the Golden Eagles given that it’s on the road against an opponent ranked in the top 75 of the NET. Marquette won the first meeting 70-66.
No. 10 LSU at Florida, 7 p.m. ET
LSU (24-5) | No. 13 NET | 9-2 Quadrant 1, 7-3 Quadrant 2, 5-0 Quadrant 3, 3-0 Quadrant 4
Stadium’s latest NCAA Tournament projection: No. 3 seed
Florida (17-12) | No. 35 NET | 3-9 Quadrant 1, 5-1 Quadrant 2, 4-2 Quadrant 3, 5-0 Quadrant 4
Stadium’s latest NCAA Tournament projection: No. 11 seed
Florida isn’t among the Last Four In from Stadium’s latest NCAA Tournament projections, but the Gators may not be far from that category, either. They’ve had no shortage of Quadrant 1 opportunities but they only have three wins to show for it. A road win at LSU is their best win to date and Wednesday night, Florida will have the chance to complete the season sweep, which would potentially seal the Gators’ at-large status.
Meanwhile, LSU is a sleeper to potentially climb to the No. 1 seed line in the NCAA Tournament with a strong finish to the season. They’re a No. 3 seed in Stadium’s latest projections, but they have an impressive 9-2 Quadrant 1 record, no bad losses and the chance to sweep the SEC regular season and tournament titles.
Wednesday’s game against Florida falls under Quadrant 1, then LSU returns home for its season finale against Vanderbilt, which would be a bad loss and the Tigers’ worst of the season. A 2-0 week would guarantee at least a share of the SEC regular season championship and LSU would take a 17-5 record in Quadrant 1/2 games into the SEC Tournament.
Iowa State and West Virginia, 7 p.m. ET
Iowa State (20-9) | No. 18 NET | 5-6 Quadrant 1, 4-3 Quadrant 2, 5-0 Quadrant 3, 6-0 Quadrant 4
Stadium’s latest NCAA Tournament projection: No. 6 seed
There are almost no bad losses available in the Big 12 this season – a home loss to Oklahoma State or West Virginia are the only possibilities – and Iowa State took care of business in both of those matchups. Now the Cyclones play their return game at West Virginia, which falls under Quadrant 2.
They’re just 9-9 in Quadrants 1/2, which is why Iowa State was a No. 6 seed in Stadium’s latest NCAA Tournament projections. A final week featuring games against West Virginia and home against Texas Tech (Quadrant 1) gives Iowa State the chance to get to .500 in Quadrant 1 and climb to 11-9 in the top two quadrants.
Iowa State’s “good” is really good. Just look at road wins at Texas Tech, Kansas State and Ole Miss, plus a home win over Kansas. But consistency has been an issue in the competitive Big 12.
Georgetown at DePaul, 8:30 p.m. ET
Georgetown (18-11) | No. 72 NET | 3-6 Quadrant 1, 6-3 Quadrant 2, 2-2 Quadrant 3, 7-0 Quadrant 4
Stadium’s latest NCAA Tournament projection: Next Four Out
The Hoyas are 4-5 on the road this season and they’ll need to add at least one more road win to make the NCAA Tournament. Georgetown finishes the regular season at DePaul and Marquette, giving the Hoyas the chance to add a Quadrant 2 and a Quadrant 1 win, respectively.
Georgetown’s overall record is fairly strong, but when you examine it closely, the Hoyas have almost as many bad losses (two) as Quadrant 1 wins (three), so they still have work to do.
They beat DePaul 82-73 at home last week.
Ohio State at Northwestern, 9 p.m. ET
Ohio State (18-11) | No. 43 NET | 4-8 Quadrant 1, 4-2 Quadrant 2, 4-1 Quadrant 3, 6-0 Quadrant 4
Stadium’s latest NCAA Tournament projection: No. 10 seed
Ohio State’s NCAA Tournament seeding outlook took a nosedive in January, but the Buckeyes recovered by winning four of their next five before suffering another dip in mid-February.
Ohio State is still in the projected NCAA Tournament field, but it’s facing a likely double-digit seed unless it can close the season strong at Northwestern, then at home against Wisconsin.
Those are a Quadrant 2 and a Quadrant 1 game, respectively. Ohio State’s only top-end Quadrant 1 win was at Cincinnati in the Buckeyes’ first game of the season and they’ve since lost their last seven opportunities for another one. Sophomore center Kaleb Wesson will miss Wednesday’s game at Northwestern, which means Ohio State could be at risk of falling to a No. 11 or No. 12 seed.
Clemson at Notre Dame, 9 p.m. ET
Clemson (17-12) | No. 39 NET | 1-10 Quadrant 1, 4-2 Quadrant 2, 6-0 Quadrant 3, 6-0 Quadrant 4
Stadium’s latest NCAA Tournament projection: No. 12 seed (Last Four In)
Clemson was the last team included in Stadium’s latest NCAA Tournament projections, so the Tigers could use wins of any kind. They’ll finish the ACC’s regular season with a pair of Quadrant 2 games at Notre Dame and home against Syracuse.
Even if they win both, the Tigers might need to steal at least a game or two in the ACC Tournament given their 1-10 Quadrant 1 record.
Georgia Tech at NC State, 9 p.m. ET
NC State (20-9) | No. 31 NET | 2-8 Quadrant 1, 5-0 Quadrant 2, 3-1 Quadrant 3, 10-0 Quadrant 4
Stadium’s latest NCAA Tournament projection: No. 10 seed
NC State’s resume is kind of a blend of Georgetown’s and Clemson’s. The Wolfpack only have one more Quadrant 1 win (two) than bad losses (one), along with a high number of Quadrant 4 wins (10).
To sum up NC State’s resume in one word, it’s “meh.”
Unfortunately for the Wolfpack, its final two games are home against Georgia Tech (Quadrant 3) and at Boston College (Quadrant 2), so it doesn’t have much of an opportunity to significantly improve its NCAA Tournament standing until the NCAA Tournament.
NC State enters Wednesday night in eighth place in the ACC with an 8-8 conference record and if the season ended after Tuesday’s games, the Wolfpack would play Clemson in its first ACC Tournament game.
The Wolfpack are projected to make the NCAA Tournament, but they could really use a good ‘W’ to stay in the projected field.