Brett McMurphy’s College Football Bowl Projections After Week 4

Now that I’ve found a new home with Stadium, so have my annual bowl projections. Each Monday, I’ll post my bowl projections here for the 40 bowls — including the College Football Playoff title game.

These projections are my end-of-the-season predictions. So my bowl projections will likely look a lot different than how I have the teams currently ranked in my Associated Press Top 25 ballot. My AP ballot is based only on games played up to this point, and not a prediction of how the teams will finish.

College Football Playoff
Championship – Jan. 7 (CFP semifinal winners)
Projection: Alabama vs Georgia

Semifinals
Orange Bowl – Dec. 29 (CFP Playoff semifinal)
Projection:  Alabama (CFP No. 1) vs Oklahoma (CFP No. 4)

Cotton Bowl – Dec. 29 (CFP Playoff semifinal)
Projection: Clemson (CFP No. 2) vs Georgia (CFP No. 3)

New Year’s 6 Bowls
Rose Bowl – Jan. 1 (Big Ten vs Pac-12)
Projection: Ohio State vs Washington

Sugar Bowl – Jan. 1 (Big 12 vs SEC)
Projection: West Virginia vs Auburn

Fiesta Bowl – Jan. 1 (at-large vs Group of 5*)
Projection: Stanford vs UCF

Peach Bowl – Dec. 29 (at large vs at-large)
Projection: Notre Dame vs Penn State

Other Bowls
Citrus Bowl – Jan. 1 (Big Ten vs SEC)
Projection: Wisconsin vs LSU

Outback Bowl – Jan. 1 (Big Ten vs SEC)
Projection: Michigan State vs Kentucky

Gator Bowl – Dec. 31 (ACC/Big Ten vs SEC)
Projection: Minnesota vs Texas A&M

Holiday Bowl – Dec. 31 (Big Ten vs Pac-12)
Projection: Michigan vs Washington State

Liberty Bowl – Dec. 31 (Big 12 vs SEC)
Projection: Oklahoma State vs South Carolina

San Francisco Bowl – Dec. 31 (Big Ten vs Pac-12)
Projection: Iowa vs Cal

Sun Bowl – Dec. 31 (ACC vs Pac-12)
Projection: Virginia Tech vs USC

Military Bowl – Dec. 31 (ACC vs American)
Projection: NC State vs Cincinnati

Arizona Bowl – Dec. 29 (Mountain West vs Sun Belt)
Projection: Fresno State vs Arkansas State

Belk Bowl – Dec. 29 (ACC vs SEC)
Projection: Boston College vs Florida

Alamo Bowl – Dec. 28 (Big 12 vs Pac-12)
Projection: Texas vs Oregon

Camping World Bowl – Dec. 28 (ACC vs Big 12)
Projection: Miami vs TCU

Music City Bowl – Dec. 28 (ACC/Big Ten vs SEC)
Projection: Duke vs Missouri

Texas Bowl – Dec. 27 (Big 12 vs SEC)
Projection: Texas Tech vs Mississippi State

Pinstripe Bowl – Dec. 27 (ACC vs Big Ten)
Projection: Syracuse vs Maryland

Independence Bowl – Dec. 27 (ACC vs SEC)
Projection: Arizona** vs UNLV**

Cheez-It Bowl – Dec. 26 (Big 12 vs Pac-12)
Projection: Iowa State vs Utah

Quick Lane Bowl – Dec. 26 (ACC vs Big Ten)
Projection: Virginia vs Indiana

First Responder Bowl – Dec. 26 (C-USA vs Big Ten)
Projection:  North Texas vs Purdue

Hawaii Bowl – Dec. 22 (C-USA vs Mountain West)
Projection: FAU vs Hawaii

Dollar General Bowl – Dec. 22 (MAC vs Sun Belt)
Projection: Buffalo vs Troy

Armed Forces Bowl – Dec. 22 (American vs Big 12)
Projection: Navy vs Baylor

Birmingham Bowl – Dec. 22 (American vs SEC)
Projection: Memphis vs Arizona State**

Idaho Potato Bowl – Dec. 21 (MAC vs Mountain West)
Projection: Toledo vs San Diego State

Bahamas Bowl – Dec. 21 (C-USA vs MAC)
Projection: Florida International vs Northern Illinois

Gasparilla Bowl – Dec. 20 (ACC vs American)
Projection: Army** vs USF

Frisco Bowl – Dec. 19 (American vs MAC)
Projection: BYU** vs Akron

Boca Raton Bowl – Dec. 18 (American vs C-USA)
Projection: Houston vs Marshall

New Orleans Bowl – Dec. 15 (C-USA vs Sun Belt)
Projection: Louisiana Tech vs ULM

Camellia Bowl – Dec. 15 (MAC vs Sun Belt)
Projection: Eastern Michigan vs Appalachian State

Las Vegas Bowl – Dec. 15 (Mountain West vs Pac-12)
Projection: Boise State vs Colorado

Cure Bowl – Dec. 15 (American vs Sun Belt)
Projection: Western Michigan** vs Coastal Carolina

New Mexico Bowl – Dec. 15 (C-USA vs Mountain West)
Projection: Southern Miss vs Utah State


* The highest rated champion from the Group of Five conferences (American, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West and Sun Belt) will be selected to play in either the Cotton, Fiesta or Peach Bowl

** Replaces team from league that can’t fill bowl