Kansas State vs. Iowa State Prediction, Game Preview

Kansas State at Iowa State prediction and game preview. Projecting who wins the game between the Wildcats and Cyclones.

Kansas State at Iowa State Game Preview

When: Saturday, October 29 – 12:00 p.m. ET
Where: Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA
Broadcast: FSN

Two of the Big 12’s worst offenses meet in a game that actually produced 73 points a season ago. Kansas State will be looking to make it nine in a row against a rival it’s faced every year since 1917. The Wildcats moved an important step closer to a seventh consecutive bowl game, which could potentially be legendary coach Bill Snyder’s finale, with Saturday’s victory over Texas. Iowa State was off on the same day, as rookie coach Matt Campbell continued to lay a foundation and mentor the young players he inherited. The Cyclones have started competing against the likes of Baylor and Oklahoma State, but can claim just a single win over San Jose State.

What To Know About Kansas State

The Cats are a game over .500 in spite of their offense. And because of their defense, a veteran and well-coached group giving up just 21 points per game and a league-low three yards per carry. Kansas State’s biggest advantage will be at the line of scrimmage when Iowa State has the ball. The Cyclones have allowed 27 sacks to rank 124th in the country. Meanwhile, the Wildcats are rugged at the point of attack, spearheaded by an experienced front seven that includes linemen Jordan Willis and Will Geary and linebackers Elijah Lee, Will Davis and Charmeachealle Moore.

What to Know About Iowa State

Which Cyclone offense exits from the bye week, the one that rung up 73 combined points in consecutive games with Baylor and Oklahoma State or the one that failed to reach the end zone against a suspect Texas D? A lot will hinge on how well the O-line performs at protecting quarterback Joel Lanning and creating holes for running back Mike Warren. Against the Longhorns, Iowa State surrendered eight sacks and 14 tackles for loss, so the inability to score was predictable. The ISU defense has been run on all year, but this will be its most manageable offensive opponent since San Jose State came to town a month ago.


Offense: Iowa State. Very close, but the Cyclones have better skill players, like Warren and wide receiver Allen Lazard, when the line is doing its part.

Defense: Kansas State. Not close. The Wildcats are a stout, veteran unit that makes few mistakes. The Cyclones are soft against the run and light on game-changing players.

Special Teams: Kansas State. Both squads pay particular attention to special teams, though the Cats have the slightly better combination of punter and placekicker in Nick Walsh and Matthew McCrane, respectively.

Coaching: Kansas State. Campbell is on the upswing, but Snyder is still an iconic figure in the college coaching ranks.

Intangibles: Kansas State. Iowa State will be battling history this weekend, knowing it last defeated the rival Cats a decade ago.

Matchup To Watch

Willis vs. Iowa State offensive tackles Nick Fett and Julian Good-Jones

Willis is a next-level defensive end, with team-highs in tackles for loss (11.5) and sacks (eight). If Fett, Good-Jones and whoever else can assist in a red jersey fails to contain Willis, it’ll be an unproductive afternoon for Lanning and his teammates.

Kansas State at Iowa State Betting Odds

Spread: Kansas State -7
Over/Under: No line as of post

Kansas State at Iowa State Prediction

Iowa State is rested, home and confident it can compete with superior Big 12 opponents. Kansas State, on the other hand, hasn’t had an off week since early September. This game will be close throughout, with the Cyclones proving again that they’re heading in the right direction under Campbell. However, they’ll have to settle for yet another moral victory, as Charles Jones and aching quarterback Jesse Ertz engineer a gutty drive in the final minutes to pull out the victory in Ames.

Kansas State at Iowa State Score Prediction: Kansas State 27, Iowa State 24

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