Texas Tech vs. Iowa State Prediction, Game Preview


Texas Tech vs. Iowa State prediction and game preview. Projecting who wins the game between the Red Raiders and Cyclones.


Texas Tech vs. Iowa State Game Preview

When: Saturday, November 19 – 3:30 p.m. ET
Where: Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA
Broadcast: FS1

Iowa State wants to continue searching for a tailwind this week in Ames. Texas Tech is trying to avoid missing the postseason for just the second time this century. The Cyclones have played pretty well for first-year head coach Matt Campbell, but this year was always about building a foundation for 2017 and beyond. Iowa State added a real Big 12 win last Saturday, over Kansas, to go along with the collection of moral ones that had been piling up in the closet. The Red Raiders are in danger of missing a bowl game for just the second time this century, fueled by five losses in the last six games. Whatever goodwill Kliff Kingsbury enjoyed years ago has long since been squandered in Lubbock.

What To Know About Texas Tech

Patrick Mahomes has to be the most frustrated player in America. All he’s done is throw 34 touchdown passes, while raising his NFL stock, yet he has just four victories to show for it. The junior did his part again last week, but his Red Raiders came up short, 45-44, when an extra point was missed in the waning moments. The elephant in Lubbock that must be addressed for change to occur in 2017 is a dilapidated and overworked defense that’s given up at least 40 points per game in each of the last three seasons.

What to Know About Iowa State

Buried in the rubble of a 2-8 season is a team that’s lost five games by no more than 10 points, including to Oklahoma and Oklahoma State. The on-field product is improving, while Campbell gradually inserts young players who could be building blocks in the next few seasons. In last week’s win over the Jayhawks, sophomore quarterback Jacob Park connected on 20-of-26 passes, while true freshman running back David Montgomery broke loose for 169 yards on 24 carries. And while the D still needs help against the run, that’s an area far less likely to get exploited by the Texas Tech offense.

Advantages

Offense: Texas Tech. While Iowa State is more likely to achieve balance, it lacks the pop and explosiveness of Mahomes & Co.

Defense: Iowa State. Linebackers Willie Harvey and Reggan Northrup headline a unit making strides, even holding Oklahoma 10 points below its season average two weeks ago.

Special Teams: Iowa State. Cyclones getting solid support from their vets, punter Colin Downing and placekicker Cole Netten, who’s missed just one field goal all year.

Coaching: Iowa State. Battle of young coaches, with Campbell rating higher than the one-dimensional Kingsbury.

Intangibles: Iowa State. The Cyclones are not only at Jack Trice, where they’ve been considerably more competitive this season, but they’ve also lost no motivation at this late stage of the campaign.

Matchup To Watch

Park vs. the Texas Tech secondary

No one on the Iowa State staff is asking Park to channel Mahomes this weekend. He won’t need to. But the Georgia transfer will have an opportunity to build on a crisp past month of action by attacking the hapless Red Raider defensive backfield, with help from outside receiver Allen Lazard.

Texas Tech at Iowa State Betting Odds

Spread: Texas Tech -3.5
Over/Under: No line as of post

Texas Tech vs. Iowa State Prediction

Texas Tech has Mahomes. Iowa State has the want-to and the desire to hit the regular season tape going full speed. The Cyclones are just playing better than the Red Raiders right now. And while Mahomes will crank out his usual production, Iowa State will wear out a gassed Texas Tech D with Park’s passing and the running of Montgomery, Mike Warren and change-of-pace quarterback Joel Lanning. Now that the Clones have broken through with a Big 12 win, they’re ready to make it two straight.

Texas Tech vs. Iowa State Score Prediction: Iowa State 38, Texas Tech 35

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