Texas vs. Iowa State Prediction, Game Preview

Texas vs. Iowa State prediction and game preview. Projecting who wins Saturday’s matchup between the Longhorns and Cyclones in Austin.

Texas vs. Iowa State Game Preview

When: Saturday, October 15 – 7:00 p.m. ET
Where: Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
Broadcast: Longhorn Network

Charlie Strong’s slow march to his likely ouster continues, as the Longhorns have now dropped three straight games, the most recent to rival Oklahoma in Dallas. But there are still games to be played and players to be developed, even as dark clouds ominously hover above the entire Texas program. Iowa State, which blanked Texas in 2015, sees this trip to Austin as a chance to continue building under rookie head coach Matt Campbell. The Cyclones, which squandered late leads to Baylor and Oklahoma State the past two weeks, are flashing hints of breaking through, and still view the Horns as a marquee opponent on which progress can be built.

What To Know About Texas

The hope that existed after a 2-0 start is long gone, replaced by the despair of a three-game losing streak and a defense unable to stop anyone. The Horns are averaging 41 points per game, even as the play of QB Shane Buechele has tailed off during the losing streak. It’s the D, though, that’s dogging Texas. The team is surrendering 48 points per game against teams not named UTEP, and the inability to stop the pass has been staggering. Over the last three weeks, the Horns have allowed 396 yards, 392 yards and 390 yards through the air.

What to Know About Iowa State

True, no one tallies their moral victories, but the Cyclones are gradually moving in the right direction for Campbell and offensive coordinator Tom Manning. Over the last three games, Iowa State averaged 39 points. RB Mike Warren is flashing signs of his rookie year, and QB Joel Lanning is making plays with his arm and his feet. Last week, he rushed for 100 pre-sacks yards and threw for a pair of scores. Like the Horns, though, the Cyclones aren’t making timely defensive stops, which is why they’re 1-5. Plus, no one in the Big 12 has yielded more sacks than Iowa State.


Offense: Texas. The Horns have the better ground game, spearheaded by D’Onta Foreman, and a more reliable offensive line.

Defense: Push. Texas is last in Big 12 D. Iowa State is next to last. Both are feeble, the Horns folding against the pass, and the Clones wilting versus the run.

Special Teams: Texas. Iowa State PK Cole Netten has hit all five of his field goal attempts, but Texas P Michael Dickson is a defensive asset, norming more than 48 yards a punt.

Coaching: Strong. It’s close, since Campbell is on a sharp ascent. But Strong is a better coach than his Texas tenure would otherwise indicate.

Intangibles: Iowa State. The Longhorns are reeling, yet the Cyclones are no less motivated to upset one of the league’s two marquee programs.

Matchup To Watch

Foreman vs. WLB Reggan Northrup and the Iowa State run defense

Buechele has not been especially sharp in October, a situation exacerbated by middling receiver play. And Iowa State has allowed more rushing yards, rushing touchdowns and yards per carry than any other Big 12 team. This looks like a job for Foreman, the bulldozing 249-pounder who’s gone over 100 yards in all four of his games this fall.

Betting Odds

Spread: Texas -14
Over/Under: No line (as of posting)

Texas vs. Iowa State Prediction

Three-game losing streak, the latest to the biggest rival on the schedule. The coach is in trouble. Where will Texas’ head be Saturday night? Motivation won’t be a problem for Iowa State, which is eager to flip one of these moral victories into an actual one. The Cyclones can hang with the Longhorns, just not for all 60 minutes. The teams will trade blows past halftime, but Foreman and superior line play will eventually wear down ISU to help snap Texas’ three-game losing streak.

Texas vs. Iowa State Score Prediction: Texas 40, Iowa State 28

MORE: No. 1-128 College Football Rankings – Week 7