The first College Football Playoff rankings for the 2018 season will be announced Tuesday night, so we examined the committee's initial rankings from the
The first College Football Playoff rankings for the 2018 season will be announced Tuesday night, so we examined the committee’s initial rankings from the last four seasons to see what we can learn. Here are the biggest takeaways:
Here’s a year-by-year breakdown of the top 10 teams in the playoff selection committee’s initial rankings and where those schools were ranked in the final rankings.
Remember four years ago when there were three SEC schools ranked in the top four of the College Football Playoff selection committee’s first-ever rankings? Mississippi State was No. 1, Auburn was No. 3 and Ole Miss was No. 4.
Of course, the rankings didn’t finish that way as Alabama climbed from No. 6 to No. 1 to be the only SEC team represented in the first playoff.
School | Initial CFP Ranking | Final CFP Ranking |
Mississippi State | No. 1 | No. 7 |
Florida State | No. 2 | No. 3 |
Auburn | No. 3 | No. 19 |
Ole Miss | No. 4 | No. 9 |
Oregon | No. 5 | No. 2 |
Alabama | No. 6 | No. 1 |
TCU | No. 7 | No. 6 |
Michigan State | No. 8 | No. 8 |
Kansas State | No. 9 | No. 11 |
Notre Dame | No. 10 | NR |
Clemson was undefeated through the ACC Championship in 2015, holding the No. 1 spot in the committee’s rankings from Week 10 through Week 15. LSU dropped dramatically, Ohio State fell in the rankings after a home loss to Michigan State and it was business as usual for Alabama with a 12-1 record entering the College Football Playoff Semifinal.
School | Initial CFP Ranking | Final CFP Ranking |
Clemson | No. 1 | No. 1 |
LSU | No. 2 | No. 20 |
Ohio State | No. 3 | No. 7 |
Alabama | No. 4 | No. 2 |
Notre Dame | No. 5 | No. 8 |
Baylor | No. 6 | No. 17 |
Michigan State | No. 7 | No. 3 |
TCU | No. 8 | No. 11 |
Iowa | No. 9 | No. 5 |
Florida | No. 10 | No. 19 |
The initial CFP rankings in 2016 turned out to be an accurate predictor of the eventual playoff field as the four playoff teams were all ranked among the committee’s top six teams in Week 10.
Michigan and Texas A&M, ranked No. 3 and No. 4 initially, respectively, dropped in the rankings while Washington and Ohio State climbed into the top four from No. 5 and No. 6 in the committee’s first rankings.
School | Initial CFP Ranking | Final CFP Ranking |
Alabama | No. 1 | No. 1 |
Clemson | No. 2 | No. 2 |
Michigan | No. 3 | No. 6 |
Texas A&M | No. 4 | NR |
Washington | No. 5 | No. 4 |
Ohio State | No. 6 | No. 3 |
Louisville | No. 7 | No. 13 |
Wisconsin | No. 8 | No. 8 |
Auburn | No. 9 | No. 14 |
Nebraska | No. 10 | NR |
The top of the playoff selection committee’s Week 10 rankings last season were consistent with the final rankings as the four playoff teams were ranked in the top five of the initial rankings. Georgia and Alabama – the top two teams in the rankings in Week 10 – claimed the No. 3 and No. 4 seeds in the playoff, while Clemson and Oklahoma took the top two spots.
Notre Dame made the most notable drop from No. 3 in Week 10 to No. 14 in the final rankings.
School | Initial CFP Ranking | Final CFP Ranking |
Georgia | No. 1 | No. 3 |
Alabama | No. 2 | No. 4 |
Notre Dame | No. 3 | No. 14 |
Clemson | No. 4 | No. 1 |
Oklahoma | No. 5 | No. 2 |
Ohio State | No. 6 | No. 5 |
Penn State | No. 7 | No. 9 |
TCU | No. 8 | No. 15 |
Wisconsin | No. 9 | No. 6 |
Miami | No. 10 | No. 10 |