Predicting the College Football AP Top 25 Poll for Week 11: Georgia Climbs After Big Win

Nine ranked teams were off in Week 10, including No. 1 LSU, No. 2 Alabama, No. 3 Ohio State, No. 5 Penn State and No. 10 Oklahoma, but that doesn’t mean there weren’t notable results from the last week of college football action. No. 8 Georgia beat No. 6 Florida at the World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party, Memphis won an AAC shootout over previously undefeated SMU and a Group of Five upset in the Sun Belt potentially affected a New Year’s Six bowl matchup.

Here’s what we predict the AP Top 25 poll will look like after Week 10.

Once again, this isn’t a personal top-25 ballot but rather a prediction of how the AP poll voters will vote.

 

Dropped out of rankings: No. 20 Appalachian State

25. Navy (7-1)

The Midshipmen have rattled off five straight wins, most recently a 56-10 win over UConn on Friday. Quarterback Malcolm Perry was 3-for-6 passing for 165 yards (!) and a touchdown, plus a 99.9 QBR, while he rushed 11 times for 108 yards and two scores.

 

24. San Diego State (7-1)

The Aztecs were off in Week 10, one week after a 20-17 win at UNLV. Next up is a home game against Nevada.

 

23. SMU (8-1)

You can cross SMU off the list of undefeated teams as the Mustangs fell on the road at Memphis. They scored 24 points in the four quarter but that wasn’t enough in a 54-48 defeat. Quarterback Shane Buechele threw for 456 yards and three touchdowns in the loss.

 

22. Memphis (8-1)

Memphis got College GameDay to come to town for a huge AAC matchup against undefeated SMU and the Tigers responded, handing the Mustangs their first loss of the season, 54-48. Brady White threw for 350 yards and three touchdowns – 143 and two of which, respectively, went to Damonte Coxie, who had seven catches. Antonio Gibson had a huge day with three carries for 97 yards and a score, plus six catches for 130 yards and another touchdown.

 

21. Wake Forest (7-1)

The Demon Deacons scored three touchdowns in the span of six minutes in the first quarter and NC State never came within 17 points after that as Wake Forest pulled away for a 44-10 win. The box score looks a bit odd for Wake Forest in such a lopsided win – the Demon Deacons had 46 run plays (including sacks and kneel downs) to 42 passes yet ran for just 2.7 yards per carry and tight end Jack Freudenthal caught all three of quarterback Jamie Newman’s touchdown passes but finished with just four receptions for 16 yards.

 

20. Kansas State (6-2)

What an eight-day stretch it’s been for Kansas State: upset undefeated Oklahoma in front of your home crowd, return to an AP Top 25 ranking, then destroy your rival 38-10 to clinch bowl eligibility. Kansas State quarterback Skylar Thompson threw for 129 yards and ran for 127 yards and three touchdowns. The Wildcats picked off Kansas quarterback Carter Stanley twice and held the Jayhawks to just 2.4 yards per carry.

 

19. Boise State (7-1)

The Broncos held off a pesky San Jose State squad in a shootout, 52-42, as Boise State running back George Holani rushed for 101 yards and three touchdowns as the Broncos ran for over 200 yards and five touchdowns in the game. The win keeps Boise State in the mix for the Group of Five’s New Year’s Six bowl bid.

 

18. Iowa (6-2)

The Hawkeyes’ season arguably comes down to how they perform in the next two weeks. After a bye week in Week 10, they’ll travel to Wisconsin, then host Minnesota. If they win both, they’ll be in first place in the Big Ten West, despite the consecutive losses they suffered to Michigan and Penn State.

 

17. Wisconsin (6-2)

The Badgers had a well-timed bye week after consecutive losses at Illinois and Ohio State before they host Iowa in Week 11 in a game in which the loser is likely eliminated from Big Ten West contention.

 

16. Cincinnati (7-1)

The Bearcats overcame a 12-point deficit entering the fourth quarter to beat East Carolina 46-43 on Sam Crosa’s game-winning, 32-yard field goal as time expired. Cincinnati ran for 326 yards on 8.4 yards per attempt, led by quarterback Desmond Ridder’s 146 rushing yards, along with Michael Warren II’s 141 yards and three touchdowns. What could have been a disastrous loss against an East Carolina team that hasn’t won a conference game turned into the Bearcats extending their winning streak to six games and keeping them as the only undefeated team in the AAC.

 

15. Notre Dame (6-2)

The Fighting Irish nearly dropped their second game in a row but quarterback Ian Book’s touchdown run with 29 seconds left tied the game and the PAT gave Notre Dame the lead in a 21-20 win. The game completely turned when Virginia Tech’s Divine Deablo scored on a 98-yard fumble return with nine seconds left in the first half, tying the game at 14 in what was potentially a 14-point swing.

 

14. Michigan (7-2)

Michigan boat-raced Maryland 38-7 as the Wolverines’ defense held the Terrapins to 2.8 yards per carry and 4.7 yards per attempt, while Michigan’s offense did enough (176 passing yards, 155 rushing yards) to move the ball. Maryland’s only touchdown came on a kickoff return.

 

13. Minnesota (8-0)

The Gophers were off in Week 10, one week after throttling Maryland 52-10, and they’ll host undefeated Penn State in Week 11 in one of the biggest game of the week. A win over the Nittany Lions would be the Gophers’ best win of the season and it would bring them one step closer to playing for the Big Ten Championship.

 

12. Baylor (8-0)

The Big 12’s only remaining undefeated team survived a Friday night scare against West Virginia, 17-14, after the Mountaineers tied the game at 14 all after Winston Wright’s 95-yard touchdown return late in the third quarter. Baylor kicker John Mayers’ 36-yard field goal in the fourth quarter proved to be the game-winning score and the Bears still control their own destiny in the Big 12.

 

11. Auburn (7-2)

Despite Ole Miss’ quarterbacks throwing for just 99 yards, 3.7 yards per attempt, no touchdowns and an interception, the Rebels managed to make things somewhat interesting in Auburn’s 20-14 win against one of the worst teams in the SEC. Auburn led 10-7 at half and Snoop Conner’s touchdown run with 5:45 remaining cut Auburn’s lead to six. Bo Nix threw for 340 yards and rushed for a touchdown.

 

10. Florida (7-2)

The Gators likely kissed their SEC East (and College Football Playoff) hopes goodbye on Saturday after their 24-17 loss to No. 8 Georgia. Florida averaged just 1.1 yards per carry and the Gators were absolutely out-played on third down, converting on just 2-of-9 attempts compared to the Bulldogs’ 12-of-18 success rate.

 

9. Oklahoma (7-1)

The Sooners had the chance to regroup with a bye week in Week 10, one week after Kansas State handed Oklahoma its first loss of the season. Next up is a home game against Iowa State, which has proven it’s capable of upsetting Oklahoma under Matt Campbell.

 

8. Utah (8-1)

After falling behind 14-3 to Washington, Utah put together two scoring drives in the final three minutes of the first half to cut the deficit to 14-13, then the Utes pulled away after halftime for a 33-28 win. With the win, Utah remains a College Football Playoff contender and the Utes should earn their highest CFP ranking ever on Tuesday when the 2019 rankings debut.

 

7. Oregon (8-1)

In one of Saturday’s stranger game flows, Oregon found itself in a 10-point deficit in the first quarter, rattled off 28 points in the second quarter, which had four combined touchdowns scored in the final 2:36 of the half. Justin Herbert connected with Juwan Johnson for three touchdowns in the second half and the Ducks rolled 56-24. Oregon picked off Kedon Slovis three times, including a 32-yard pick-six by Brady Breeze.

 

6. Georgia (7-1)

The Bulldogs won its rivalry game against Florida in Jacksonville, 24-17, as Georgia’s offensive line kept the pocket clean for Jake Fromm, who completed 20-of-30 attempts for 279 yards and two touchdowns. Grad transfer wide receiver Lawrence Cager had a massive day with seven catches for 132 yards, a touchdown and a two-point conversion. The Bulldogs had to win this game to keep their SEC East, SEC Championship and College Football Playoff hopes alive, and that’s exactly what they did.

 

5. Penn State (8-0)

The Nittany Lions were off in Week 10, one week after a 28-7 road win at Michigan State. Next up is a huge road game at Minnesota in a battle of two unbeatens.

 

4. Clemson (9-0)

The Tigers outscored Wofford 21-0 in each of the first two quarters of their 59-14 win. Trevor Lawrence (12-of-16, 218 yards, three touchdowns) and Travis Etienne (nine carries, 212 yards, two touchdowns) were both incredibly efficient on a low number of snaps. If it’s possible for a reigning national champion to be undefeated and perhaps underrated, then Clemson is just that this season.

 

3. Ohio State (8-0)

The Buckeyes received the same number of first-place votes (17) as LSU in the Week 10 AP Top 25 poll, which tells you how close the AP poll voters believe the top teams in the country are through the first two months of the season. Ohio State was off in Week 10, following a dominant win over Wisconsin, and next up is a home game against Maryland – a team that pushed the Buckeyes to the brink of defeat last season.

 

2. Alabama (8-0)

The Crimson Tide received more first-place votes than LSU in the Week 10 AP Top 25 poll (21 to 17) but LSU just edged out Alabama by two votes, meaning the Crimson Tide had a lower floor in the poll, according to the group of AP poll voters. After Alabama’s bye week in Week 10, the two SEC West powers will decide on the field who’s the best team in the country when LSU travels to Tuscaloosa. Let’s hope a healthy Tua Tagovailoa returns to the field so we can get both teams at full strength.

 

1. LSU (8-0)

The Tigers were off in Week 10, one week after beating Auburn 23-20. Next up is arguably the biggest regular season matchup of the season with LSU going to No. 2 Alabama in Week 11 for a game with huge implications on the SEC West, the SEC Championship, the College Football Playoff and the Heisman Trophy.

MORE: Three Takeaways From Georgia’s Win Over Florida